With the series all square at 1-1, the Mets (72-86, 40-37 home) are giving the start to David Peterson while the Marlins will send Jesús Luzardo to the mound. Check out who I see coming out on top in this New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins showdown at Citi Field.

MIAMI MARLINS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets +112

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Thursday, September 28th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • The Marlins are just 2-3 in their last five road games.
  • So far, the Mets are 8-4 against the Marlins this season.
  • Jesús Luzardo has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 5.40 over his last five starts.

MIAMI MARLINS HAVE BEEN GOOD AGAINST THE NL EAST

On a record of 82-76, the Marlins come into today’s game 3rd in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 46-35 and 36-41 on the road. Miami has played in 50 series thus far, and have gone 25-23-2.

Jesús Luzardo has been a reliable starter for the Marlins this season, boasting a 10-9 record in 31 appearances. His ERA stands at 3.73, while his K/9 rate is an impressive 10.4. Additionally, his FIP is 3.67 and opposing batters have only managed to hit .300 against him.

Jesús Luzardo’s most recent outing saw him surrender three hits over five innings, resulting in three earned runs. Unfortunately, the left-hander was unable to factor into the decision as the Marlins edged out the Brewers 5-4.

For the season, the Marlins’ offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 53 runs. Overall, Miami’s team batting average is .259, putting them 4th in the MLB.

Luis Arraez enters the contest boasting a .308 batting average and an impressive .468 slugging percentage. Nevertheless, it is worth monitoring the lineups as he is listed as questionable.

WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

158 games into their season, the Mets are 4th in the NL East on an overall record of 72-86. Against other teams in the NL East, New York is 22-26 while their overall series win percent sits at 39%. At home, the Mets are 40-37 and 32-49 on the road.

Today, New York Mets starter David Peterson will attempt to keep the ball in the park, as he has surrendered a home-run in his last two outings. Through 2021, he holds a 3-8 record and 5.37 ERA. He has also recorded 120 strikeouts with a K/9 of 10.38 and an average of 3.98 walks per 9 innings.

David Peterson’s most recent outing saw him take the mound for four innings, but the Mets ultimately fell to the Phillies 5-4. The southpaw was unable to secure a win, as he gave up four runs on five hits and was left with a no-decision.

In their five most recent games, the Mets have put together a batting average of only .222, placing them 23rd compared to the rest of the league. At 4.4 runs per game, New York is 18th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .239 and OPS of .727 which has them 17th in baseball.

Pete Alonso has been a major contributor to the Mets’ offensive success in 2023, leading the team with 46 home runs and 117 RBIs. His slugging percentage is an impressive .517 for the year.