Getting the start for the Marlins (64-59, 27-32 away) will be Eury Pérez against Caleb Ferguson for the Dodgers (74-47, 41-21 home). Today marks game two of their series, with the Marlins currently holding the 1-0 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers matchup.

MIAMI MARLINS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 3:00 ET on Saturday, August 19th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI MARLINS:

  • In their last three games as the underdog, the Marlins have put together a runline record of 2-1.
  • On the road, the Marlins have covered the runline in two straight games.
  • Opponents are hitting just .225 against Eury Pérez in his last two starts.

MIAMI MARLINS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS

On a record of 64-59, the Marlins come into today’s game 3rd in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 37-27 and 27-32 on the road. Miami has played in 39 series thus far, and have gone 20-18-1.

Eury Pérez is taking the mound for Miami with a 5-4 record. He has made 13 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 3.19 and a K/9 rate of 10.6. His FIP stands at 4.11 and his OBP is .274.

Eury Pérez’s most recent performance against the Yankees saw him surrender four runs and four hits across four innings, though he was not awarded a decision as the Marlins ultimately emerged victorious with an 8-7 scoreline.

This season, the Marlins are 20th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .253 (11th) leading to 6.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 2.6 walks per game compared to 7 strikeouts. Miami’s on-base percentage of .317 has them 13th in the MLB.

Jorge Soler has been a major contributor to the Marlins’ offensive success this season, leading the team with four home runs over their last five games. His 32 long balls on the year have been accompanied by a .245 batting average.

WILL THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

For the season, the Dodgers are 74-47 overall, including going 33-26 on the road and 41-21 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Los Angeles is above .500 at 25-13-1. In the NL West, the Dodgers are currently 1st.

Caleb Ferguson has been impressive in his 52nd appearance of the season, boasting a 7-3 record and an ERA of 2.38. His batting average allowed is a respectable .244, and teams have a slugging percentage of .301 against him. On the road, he is 3-3 with a 6.46 ERA, while at home he is 4-0 on an ERA of .96.

Caleb Ferguson earned a win in his most recent outing against the Brewers, allowing no runs and just one hit over nine innings. The Dodgers emerged victorious, 1-0, with Ferguson’s stellar performance on the mound.

The Dodgers have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 7 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 4th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 2nd in home runs and 3rd in slugging percentage. Overall, Los Angeles is averaging 5.6 runs per game (3rd).

This season, Freddie Freeman has been a major contributor to the Dodgers’ offense. With a batting average of .334 and 83 runs batted in, he has been one of the team’s top hitters. Additionally, Freeman has hit 23 home runs so far this season.