Last Updated: 2017-11-17
The Miami Heat (6-8), 4.5-point underdogs, will be at Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards (9-5) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Sun at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 17, 2017.
Miami Heat at Washington Wizards ATS Odds
In their first matchup this season, Wall led the Wizards to a 102-93 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points. The two teams combined to put up 195 points, which was well under the projected point total of 210.5, and Washington covered as a 2-point underdog. Washington made good use of their 31 trips to the charity stripe, making 29 of them (93.5 percent). Miami, on the other hand, was 16-19 (84.2 percent).
The aggressive Washington offense seems poised to dominate from the foul line. The Wizards currently rank first in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.247, while Miami ranks 28th in FTA rate allowed (0.242). It could also be a sloppy game for the Heat’s offense, which ranks 27th in ball protection (turnover percentage of 16.2 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Wizards, which forces the fourth-most turnovers in the NBA (16.3 percent).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Heat games, with an even split between overs and unders. Miami heads into the game with records of 6-8 straight up (SU) and 4-8-2 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Wizards’ 14 games, 9 have finished under the total. Further, Washington owns records of 9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS.
Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
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Washington ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.0) while Miami ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.0).
The Heat rank first in three pointers allowed per game (23.6) while the Wizards rank 12th (27.5).
Miami ranks second in assists allowed per game (17.5) while Washington ranks 11th (21.4).
Washington averages 43.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Miami ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (44.7).
The Wizards rank ninth in steals per game (8.6) while the Heat rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Wizards average 43.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Heat rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (44.3).
Washington averages 12.8 second chance points per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Miami ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Miami is 3-3 and Washington is 6-0.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Heat are 4-4 and the Wizards are 9-3.
Washington is 3-5 ATS at home, while Miami is 4-3 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 3 of the Heat’s 7 road games, while 4 of the Wizards’ 8 home games have gone over.
The Wizards are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Heat are 2-3.
In their last five games, Washington has 5 unders, while Miami has 3 unders and 2 overs.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (3.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.4 points per game (7.6 below their season average).
The Heat’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 1.7 for the season.