Last Updated: 2019-03-23
Southeast Division foes will clash when the Washington Wizards (30-43) meet the Miami Heat (35-37) at Capital One Arena. Washington opened as a 1-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 221.5 points. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle.
Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The last time the Heat played, they lost big to the Milwaukee Bucks, 116-87. They were not able to cover as 6-point underdogs. With 14 points on 6-for-8 shooting, Hassan Whiteside was Miami’s high scorer. Milwaukee made 17 of their 34 three pointers (50.0 percent). Miami, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.6 vs. 13.0). The two teams combined to score 203 points, which came in under the projected point total of 211.5.
Although the Wizards were topped by the Denver Nuggets in their last outing, 113-108, they were able to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. Bradley Beal was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 10-for-19 shooting. Denver had a turnover percentage of 8.0 (better than their season average of 11.6). Washington, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (20-21; 95.2 percent). The two teams combined to account for 221 points, which was under the projected point total of 230.
It will be a matchup of opposite tempos as the fast-paced Wizards will look to push the more half-court-oriented Heat. The Wizards rank seventh in possessions per game while the Heat are 28th. Moreover, the Heat are among the NBA’s best on the offensive backboards, ranking fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.3 percent). The Wizards, meanwhile, rank 29th at grabbing defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 73.9 percent.
Of Miami’s 71 games with betting action, 37 have finished over the projected point total, while 44 of Washington’s 73 games have finished over the projected point total. The Heat hold a clear advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 35-37 SU and 38-32-1 ATS, while the Wizards are 30-43 SU and 33-38-2 ATS.
These two teams have met three times already this year, with the Heat leading the series two games to one. In the most recent game, the Wizards lost 115-109 but covered as 6.5-point underdogs. Beal scored a game-high 33 points and also recorded nine rebounds and seven assists. The two teams combined for 224 points, which was 12.5 points above the projected point total of 211.5 points. The Heat played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.198 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2. The Wizards were 0.153 and 21.3, respectively, for those same stats.
Miami Heat at Washington Wizards Odds Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
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Miami ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while Washington ranks 28th (47.2).
Miami ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while Washington ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.7).
The Wizards rank sixth in steals per game (8.5) while the Heat rank 12th in steals allowed per game (7.5).
Miami is 23-11 ATS on the road, while Washington is 22-13-1 ATS at home.
Washington is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Miami is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 2.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 100.8 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (2.7 below their season average).