The Miami Heat (-557) travel to Washington to take on the Wizards (+412) in a Southeast Division matchup. Miami is 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 40-33 while Washington is 14th in the East at 14-60. The Heat are favored by 10.5 points and the over/under is set at 217. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET at Capital One Arena.

Miami is 2nd in the Southeast Division while Washington is 5th. The Heat have won two straight games and are 40-33 overall. The Wizards are 14-60 and have lost two in a row.


The Pick: Washington Wizards +10.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 6:00 ET on Sunday, March 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-109 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.2% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can Miami Pull Off a Road Win?

Miami is favored by 10.5 points today and they have a 29-12 record as the favorite this season. In their last two games as the favorite, they have covered the spread. As the favorite, they are 18-20 ATS on the road and 11-21 ATS at home.

In their win over the Trail Blazers, the Heat easily covered the spread as 14.5-point favorites. The final score was 142-82, and the O/U line for the game was 208.5.

On average, Miami’s games have finished with 218.3 points this season, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 217. They have a 27-46 record on the over/under for the season.

Miami’s win over Portland improved their overall record to 40-33. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place and are 2nd in the Southeast Division. Against the East, they are 27-18 and 13-15 in non-conference games.

On offense, the Heat have been below average this season, ranking 27th in scoring at 109.8 points per game. Interestingly, Miami has actually been better on the road, averaging 107.1 points compared to 112.5 at home. Overall, they have outscored the NBA average in just 37% of their games.

In terms of pace, the Heat play at the 29th slowest rate in the league, averaging 95.7 possessions per game. When it comes to shooting, Miami has been efficient inside the arc, connecting on 52% of their two-point attempts (28th). From three-point range, they are hitting 37% of their looks (11th).

So far this season, the Heat have been getting to the free-throw line an average of 22.1 times per game (13th). In terms of assists, they are 21st in the NBA at 25.8 per contest.

This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.5 points per contest. The Heat defense is coming off a game in which they held the Trail Blazers offense to just 58.7% shooting. Overall, they gave up 82 points to Portland.

Do the Wizards Stand a Chance at Home?

Washington is 14-60 this season and are currently on a two-game losing streak. In the Eastern Conference, they are 14th and 5th in the Southeast Division.

The Wizards have been the underdog in 67 of their 74 games this season and are 12-55 as the underdog. Today, they are getting 10.5 points against the Heat. Against the spread as the underdog, they are 32-34 and have covered the spread in three straight games.

In their last game against the Pistons, the teams combined for just 183 points, which was well below the O/U line of 229.5. Washington lost the game by a score of 96-87 and did not cover the spread (-3.5).

This season, Washington has an O/U record of 36-38 and their games have averaged 236.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, which is lower than all of their previous games.

Overall, the Wizards have an ATS record of 33-40, going 22-16 against the spread on the road and 11-24 at home.

Heading into tonight’s game, the Wizards are ranked 17th in the NBA in scoring at 113.4 points per game. At home, they are 21st in the league in scoring at 112.6 points per game.

Washington is the top-ranked team in terms of pace at 102.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Wizards are 17th in the league at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Wizards are 29th in the NBA at 34%. They are 21st in three-point makes at 12.2 per game. In terms of free throws, Washington is 28th in both attempts and makes.

Coming into the game, the Wizards’ defense is giving up an average of 123.0 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 67.6% of their games. In the terms of takeaways, Wizards are causing 13.6 turnovers per game, ranking 23rd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 14th in rejections, averaging 5.1 blocked shots each game.