Home NBA Free NBA Picks Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz Free Pick 02/12/20

Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz Free Pick 02/12/20

The Utah Jazz (35-18) will be at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they challenge the Miami Heat (35-18). Utah opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 217.5 points. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2020.

Miami Heat at Utah Jazz Free Preview

The Heat were victorious over the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 113-101, covering as 7-point favorites. With 21 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, Miami’s Jimmy Butler had a solid outing. Miami played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.3 (better than their season average of 12.8) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.1 (below their season average of 20.9). Golden State was 14.8 and 13.6, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 214 points, which came in under the O/U total of 220.

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In the Jazz’s last matchup, they defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 123-119, as 1.5-point underdogs. Utah was lifted by Rudy Gobert, who recorded 17 points and 16 rebounds. The Jazz, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.1, had a great mark of 31.3 and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.686 (above their season average of 0.549). The two teams combined to account for 242 points, which was well over the projected point total of 216.5.

Half-court execution will be critical when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Utah currently ranks 26th in possessions per game (100.5) and Miami is 21st (100.9). Furthermore, the Heat, who rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.9 percent), could have a tough time getting second chance points against the Jazz, who rank fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.4 percent).

Of Miami’s 53 games, 30 have finished over the O/U total, while 28 of Utah’s 53 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (35-18 for Miami; 35-18 for Utah), but the Heat hold a slight advantage against the spread (ATS). Miami is 28-23-2 ATS, while the Jazz are 26-25-2.

These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 211 points in that game, which was just under the projected point total of 214. The Heat won 107-104, but were unable to cover as 5-point favorites. Miami did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (24-27; 88.9 percent). Utah, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.1 vs. 12.1). In the loss, Gobert had a double-double with 18 points and 19 rebounds.

Heat at Jazz Betting Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Jazz rank 16th in points in the paint per game (47.9) while the Heat rank 25th (44.8).

Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0) while Miami ranks 25th (18.1).

Miami ranks 22nd in steals per game (7.2) while Utah ranks last (5.8).

Miami allows the third-fewest rebounds per game (42.0) while Utah ranks fourth (42.7).

Miami is 12-15-1 ATS on the road with 14 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.

Utah is 12-11-1 ATS at home with 13 overs and 11 unders.

Miami is 7-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 12-2.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Jazz and Heat are both 34-12.

The Heat rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Jazz rank 13th (4.8).

Utah ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.5) while Miami ranks 27th (37.8).

The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (20.8) while the Heat rank 20th (24.7).

The Jazz rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (12.0) while the Heat rank ninth (12.2).

Miami ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while Utah ranks 13th (12.7).

Bettings Trends:

Utah is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Miami is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 3.9 points.

During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (2.8 above their season average).

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