Looking to win big? The Heat and Jazz face off at 5:00 ET on KJZZ. The Jazz are hosting the game at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT. The Heat are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 227 points.


The Pick: Miami Heat -1.5

This game will be played at Delta Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, December 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-105 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.6% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will Miami Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

As the Miami Heat get ready to take on the Jazz, they are 1.5-point favorites on the road. So far, Miami is 4th in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the Southeast with a record of 19-12.

When playing teams from the Western Conference, the Heat have gone 4-2 compared to 15-10 in games against other Eastern Conference teams.

So far, Miami’s road record for the season is 10-6, and they have put together four straight wins away from home. The average scoring differential on the road this season is +3.4 PPG.

When looking at their overall ATS record, the Heat are 15-15 this season. This is a result of two straight covers and a favored ATS record of 8-9. For the season, they have been the favorites in 18 of their 31 games.

This season, 24 of Miami’s games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 227 points. The Heat’s average over/under line for the season is 221.7 points, and their OU record for the season is 16-15.

The Heat’s offense is coming off a game in which they put up 114 points, which is right in line with their season average of 113.4 points per game. One positive for the Heat on offense this year has been their ability to get to the free-throw line, as they currently rank 10th in free-throw attempts per game. Overall, the Heat are shooting 47% from the field.

Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 111.5 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 55.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.3% of their three-point attempts.

Do the Jazz Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

As the Jazz get ready to host the Heat, they are 1.5-point underdogs at home. If they are able to pull off the win, they will snap their two-game losing streak. For the season, Utah is 12th in the West with a record of 13-19.

Utah will need to turn things around on the road if they are going to make a move up the standings. So far, they are just 5-14 on the road this season. When playing at home, the Jazz have put together a solid 8-5 record.

Against the spread, the Jazz have been performing better as the underdogs. This season, they have an average scoring margin of -8.4 points per game as the underdog, leading to a record of 14-13 against the spread. Coming into today’s game, they have gone 3 straight games ATS as the underdog.

When looking at the over/under results for the Jazz, their games have finished below the average over/under line of 230.2 points this season. Their games have had an average of 232.4 points, and Utah’s over/under record for the season is 18-13-1. Recently, their over/under games have gone 7-6 and 11-7 with the lines lower than today’s line of 227.

In their most recent contest, the Jazz offense put up 105 points against the Pelicans. They shot 42.4% from the field and knocked down 12 threes. Lauri Markkanen is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 24 PPG. Collin Sexton is also averaging 15.6 PPG.

On defense, the Jazz are ranked 24th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 56.2% of their games. Opponents are hitting 55.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.9% of their three-point attempts.