Last Updated: 2017-11-10
The Miami Heat (5-6) will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to clash against the Utah Jazz (5-6). The Jazz opened as 3-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 196 points and it gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 10, 2017.
Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz ATS Odds
In their last contest, the Jazz fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 104-97, while the Heat defeated the Phoenix Suns, 126-115.
Miami played a nearly perfect game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 28.2 (above their season average of 18.7) and a free throw rate of 0.346 (above their season average of 0.157). For those same stats, Phoenix was 12.5 and 0.261, respectively. Utah, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 16.0). Utah was led by Rudy Gobert, who put up 16 points and 15 rebounds. Goran Dragic, meanwhile had a good game for Miami, finishing with 29 points and nine rebounds.
Miami might have a tough time putting up points as they face off against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Utah currently ranks fifth in defensive efficiency, while the Heat rank 23rd in offensive efficiency.
Just over half of the Heat’s games have finished over the total. Miami heads into the game with records of 5-6 straight up (SU) and 3-6-2 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Jazz games have finished under the projected point total. Further, Utah owns records of 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS.
This was a highly competitive series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Heat won the last game 111-110. Miami had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 15.6). Utah, on the other hand, made 17 of its 30 three pointers (56.7 percent). This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
The Heat rank 15th in rebounds per game (43.2) while the Jazz rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (44.5).
Utah ranks second in steals per game (9.9) while Miami ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (9.3).
The Jazz rank 10th in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Heat rank 29th (15.9).
Utah ranks second in blocks per game (6.3) while Miami ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
Utah ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (8.0) while Miami ranks 12th (10.0).
The Jazz rank first in points off turnovers per game (21.8) while the Heat rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.6).
The Heat rank first in three pointers allowed per game (23.9) while the Jazz rank 13th (27.8).
Miami ranks second in assists allowed per game (18.2) while Utah ranks third (19.3).
Utah ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (37.5) while Miami ranks 23rd (46.7).
When holding opponents below 100 points, Utah is 4-1 and Miami is 2-3.
The Jazz are 3-2 when they score over 100 points, while the Heat are 4-3.
Miami is 3-2 ATS on the road, while Utah is 5-2 ATS at home.
In 5 road games, the Heat have 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
The Jazz have 4 unders and 3 overs in 7 home games.
The Heat are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
In their last five games, Miami has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push, while Utah has 4 overs and 1 under.
During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 100.2 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.8 points per game (5.1 below their season average).
The Jazz’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.8, up from 1.4 for the season.