The Toronto Raptors (39-16) welcome the Miami Heat (30-26) to Air Canada Centre. The Raptors are an 8-point favorite and will attempt to prolong their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 207 points and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 13, 2018.
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Betting Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Raptors had no trouble getting past the Charlotte Hornets 123-103, while the Heat defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 91-85.
The Heat, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.9, had a great mark of 27.1, while the Bucks had a turnover percentage of 16.9 (above their season average of 12.4). Meanwhile, Toronto’s 0.667 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Charlotte, who had a rate of 0.483. The Raptors’ mark was above their season average of 0.533. DeMar DeRozan had a good game for Toronto, contributing 25 points and eight assists. Meanwhile, Hassan Whiteside played a key role for Miami with 12 points and 16 rebounds.
Toronto could put on a ball-control clinic in this battle. Toronto ranks fourth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while Miami forces the eighth-fewest turnovers (13.5 percent). Additionally, the 25th-ranked offense of the Heat (offensive efficiency of 103.8) will face a tough test against the third-ranked defense of the Raptors (defensive efficiency of 103.1).
Of the Heat’s 56 games, 32 have finished under the total. Miami comes into the contest with records of 30-26 straight up (SU) and 27-27-2 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Miami, Raptors games have finished over the total 50.9 percent of the time. Further, Toronto is 39-16 SU and 31-24 ATS.
The Heat’s Josh Richardson has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 19.2 points, 3.8 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Fred VanVleet has averaged 11.8 points, 4.8 assists and 1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Raptors.
In their first matchup this season, Goran Dragic led the Heat to a 90-89 victory. He recorded a double-double with 24 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 179 points, which was well under the projected point total of 204.5, and Miami covered as a 4-point underdog. Miami had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.0 vs. 13.7). Toronto, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (4.9 vs. 11.4).
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
The Heat rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Raptors rank 13th (42.5).
Toronto ranks fifth in fast break points per game (14.0) while Miami ranks 28th (7.5).
The Raptors rank eighth in steals per game (8.3) while the Heat rank 25th (7.0).
Toronto ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (48.3) while Miami ranks 22nd (42.3).
Miami ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.0) while Toronto ranks 10th (22.0).
The Heat rank sixth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Raptors rank 26th (13.4).
The Raptors rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Heat rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
Toronto ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (32.3) while Miami ranks eighth (30.8).
Toronto ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Miami ranks 23rd (15.0).
Toronto is 18-5 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Miami is 18-6.
When reaching 100 points, the Raptors are 36-9 and the Heat are 20-10.
Miami is 19-11 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 16-11 ATS at home.
Of the Heat’s 30 road games, they have 18 unders, 11 overs and 1 push.
In 27 home games, the Raptors have 15 unders and 12 overs.
The Raptors are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Heat are 2-3.
In their last five games, Toronto has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Miami has 3 overs and 2 unders.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 94.6 points per game (8.7 below their season average).
The Heat’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 0.8 for the season.