At 10:00 ET tonight, the Miami Heat will travel to Sacramento to take on the Kings in a non-conference matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 225.5.

Miami enters the game with a record of 31-25, which has them 7th in the Eastern Conference. They have won three straight games. Sacramento is 5th in the West with a record of 33-23. They are also on a three-game win streak.


The Pick: Miami Heat +7.5

This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Monday, February 26th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 120-117 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with De’Aaron Fox points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.3% and knocking down 15 threes.

Does Miami Have A Chance at Golden 1 Center?

Miami has won three straight games as the underdog and has an ATS record of 9-15 as the underdog this season. On the road, they are 12-12 ATS as the underdog and have covered the spread in their last three road games.

The Heat’s ATS record for the season is 26-27, and they have covered the spread in six straight games. On the road, they are 14-11 ATS compared to 12-16 ATS at home.

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 21-35, and the under has hit in their last five games. Today’s O/U line of 225.5 is lower than their season average of 222.7.

In their win over the Pelicans, the teams combined for just 201 points, which was well below the O/U line of 220.5. Miami won the game by a score of 106-95.

Currently, Miami is 7.5-point underdogs against the Kings. In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are in 7th place with a record of 31-25. Within the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.

On average, Miami’s games have seen a combined scoring total of 220.6 points. This season, their games have averaged an O/U line of 222.7.

So far this season, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.9 points per game.

In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.4 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are 24th in the league at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 9th in the NBA at 37%. They are making an average of 12.4 threes per game, which is 16th in the league.

This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 110.1 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.4% and allowing 36.4% from beyond the arc.

Can Sacramento Deliver Being Favored at Home?

The Kings have won three straight games and are currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 33-23. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place.

This season, Sacramento has been favored in 39 of their 56 games and has a record of 26-13 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have won their last two games straight-up and are 19-20 against the spread.

In non-conference games, the Kings are 11-8 compared to 22-15 against Western Conference opponents. Their ATS record at home is 11-14, and they are 16-9 straight-up at home.

The Kings’ most recent win came against the Clippers (123-107), and they covered the spread as 4-point underdogs. The O/U line for that game was 238.5.

On average, Sacramento’s games have finished with 236.4 points this season, and today’s O/U line is set at 225.5. The team’s over/under record for the season is 29-26-1.

At home, the Kings are averaging 122.0 points per game this season, which is 7th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118.6 points per game. Sacramento is also 9th in pace at 100.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 4th in made threes per game at 14.8. However, they are just 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. In terms of overall field goal percentage, Sacramento is 11th in the league at 48%.

So far this season, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.1% of their games. In terms of assists, Sacramento is 6th in the league at 28.7 per game.

The Kings’ defense is presently ranked 22nd in the league, allowing an average of 117.8 points per contest. The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.