At 10:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-271) will head to Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers (+217) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat (32-25) are currently 6th in the Eastern Conference, while the Trail Blazers (15-41) are 14th in the West.

Portland (+6) is currently on an eight-game losing streak, while Miami (-6) has won four straight. The over/under line for this game is sitting at 214 points.


The Pick: Portland Trail Blazers +6

This game will be played at Moda Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 91-77 in favor of the Trail Blazers.
  • Our projections have Anfernee Simons finishing with Anfernee Simons points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Trail Blazers finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.9% and knocking down 9 threes.

Is a Road Win Possible for Miami?

The Heat are favored by 6 points in today’s game against the Trail Blazers. This season, Miami has been favored in 32 of their 57 games and has a record of 22-10 as the favorite.

Miami has won their last four games straight up and has covered the spread in their last seven games. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 15-11 and are 17-12 straight up.

In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 6th place with a record of 32-25. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 22-16 compared to 10-9 in non-conference games.

In their most recent game, the Heat defeated the Kings by a score of 121-110. They were 7-point underdogs going into the game and have an O/U record of 22-35 this season.

On average, the Heat’s games have finished with 220.8 points this season, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 214. In their last five games, their games have averaged 231 points.

This season, the Heat are 27th in the league in scoring, averaging 110.7 points per game. On the road, Miami is 28th in the NBA with 108.4 points per contest.

When it comes to pace, the Heat are 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 24th in the NBA at 46%.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 35.1% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, Miami is 27th in the league at 52%.

So far this season, the Heat defense has been performing well, ranking 4th in the NBA at 110.1 points allowed per contest. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.2 turnovers per game, which is 8th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.3 rejections per game.

Can the Trail Blazers Pull Off a Home Win?

In their last 6 games, the Trail Blazers have gone 0-6 ATS at home and are 11-17 ATS at home for the season. As underdogs, their ATS record is 24-26 for the season and they have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games as underdogs.

This season, Portland has an average scoring differential of -6.0 points per game at home. On the road, they are 6-22 and have an average scoring differential of -12.1 PPG.

Coming into today’s game, the Trail Blazers have lost 8 straight games overall. In their most recent game, they lost to the Hornets by a score of 93-80. The O/U line for that game was 213.5 points.

On the season, the Trail Blazers are 15-41 and are currently in 14th place in the Western Conference. Against Western Conference teams, they are 6-32 and 1-12 against teams in their division. In non-conference play, they are 9-9.

This season, Portland has an O/U record of 25-30-1 and their games have averaged 223.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 214, with 54 of their games having higher O/U lines.

When it comes to scoring, the Trail Blazers are below the NBA average in points per game at 107.4 (29th). However, they have been better at home, averaging 109.0 points compared to 105.9 on the road.

Portland has struggled with their three-point shooting this season, hitting just 34% of their attempts (27th). Overall, they are 30th in field goal percentage at 43%.

Despite being 30th in assists, the Trail Blazers are 5th in offensive rebounds. In terms of pace, they are 20th in the league at 97.9 possessions per game.

The Trail Blazers’ defense is presently ranked 17th in the league, allowing an average of 116.5 points per contest. The Portland defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Portland.