Today at 3:00 ET, the Miami Heat will be in New York to take on the Knicks at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks (-207) are currently 5-point favorites over the Heat (+170). Miami has lost five straight games and is 7th in the Eastern Conference, while New York has won five straight and is 5th in the East.

This Eastern Conference matchup can be seen on ABC.

MIAMI HEAT VS NEW YORK KNICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +5

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 3:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-111 in favor of the Knicks.
  • Our projections have Jalen Brunson finishing with Jalen Brunson points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Knicks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.1% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will the Heat Defense Show Up on the Road?

Miami’s ATS losing streak has reached five games after losing to the Celtics by 33 points. The Heat were 8-point underdogs in that game. This season, Miami is 19-24 ATS and 11-10 ATS on the road.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 6-12 straight-up and 8-10 ATS. They have been the underdog in their last three games and are 24-21 overall this season. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place and lead the Southeast Division.

In their games this season, Miami has an average over/under line of 222.4 and their games have averaged 221.8 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, and the Heat have a 19-26 O/U record this season.

In their last game, the Heat lost to the Celtics by a score of 143-110. The O/U line for that game was 225 points. Miami’s record for the season is 24-21.

When it comes to scoring, the Heat have struggled on the road this season, averaging just 107.2 points per game (29th in the NBA). Overall, Miami is 27th in the league with 110.5 points per game. In terms of pace, the Heat are also near the bottom of the league at 96.4 possessions per game (29th).

So far, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 35.6% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 25th in the league at 46%. When it comes to two-point shooting, Miami is 27th in the NBA at 51%.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are 16th in the league in three-pointers made per game (12.5) and 7th in three-point shooting percentage (37%). At the free-throw line, Miami is 6th in the NBA in made free throws per game (19.2).

In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the NBA by allowing 111.3 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.1% of their three-point attempts.

Will the Knicks Make it Happen at Home?

The Knicks have won five straight games and are currently 28-17, which is good for 5th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, they are in 3rd place.

At home, the Knicks are 15-5 straight up and have won four straight games. They are favored by 5 points today and have a 17-9 ATS record as the favorite. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 10.2 points per game as the favorite.

New York’s ATS record for the season is 27-18, and they have covered the spread in three straight games. At home, they are 13-7 ATS compared to 14-11 ATS on the road.

In the Knicks’ last game, they defeated the Nuggets by a score of 122-84. The O/U line for that game was 222, and the Knicks were 2.5-point underdogs. The combined scoring total was 206.

This season, the Knicks have an O/U record of 18-26-1, and the under has hit in seven straight games. On average, their games have finished with 225 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 217.

So far this season, the Knicks have been an above-average scoring team, averaging 115.2 points per game (16th). However, at home, they have been slightly worse, averaging 114.2 points per game (20th).

When it comes to pace, the Knicks are one of the slower teams in the league, ranking 28th at 96.6 possessions per game.

One area where the Knicks have excelled is in getting to the free-throw line, as they are 8th in the NBA in free-throw attempts per game (24).

The Knicks’ defense is presently ranked 2nd in the league, allowing an average of 109.8 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.6% of their three-point attempts.