The Golden State Warriors (39-15), the NBA’s top scoring team, will clash against the Miami Heat (25-28) at ORACLE Arena. Golden State opened as a 14.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points. Action gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 10, 2019, and it can be seen on NBATV.
Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Preview
The last time the Heat played, they were beaten by the Sacramento Kings, 102-96. They failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Miami’s Hassan Whiteside had a solid performance, contributing 17 points and 19 rebounds. Sacramento did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (19-25; 76.0 percent). Miami, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.4 vs. 20.8). The two teams combined to score 198 points, which finished well under the O/U total of 220.5.
Although the Warriors beat the Phoenix Suns in their last contest, 117-107, they failed to cover as 17-point favorites. With 25 points on 9-for-17 shooting, Klay Thompson was Golden State’s high scorer. The Warriors held the Suns to an effective field goal percentage of 0.416 (below their season average of 0.515) and had a free throw rate of 0.309 (above their season average of 0.195). Combined, the two teams scored 224 points, which finished under the O/U total of 229.5.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Warriors won both meetings played against each other last season. In the last game, Golden State won 123-95. The Warriors dominated every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.3 and a solid turnover percentage of 8.7. The Heat had marks of 12.8 and 11.1, respectively, for those same stats.
Of Miami’s 53 games, 26 have finished over the projected point total, while 29 of Golden State’s 54 games have finished over the O/U total. The Warriors have the superior straight up (SU) record (39-15 vs. 25-28), but the Heat have been superior against the spread (ATS) (26-26-1 vs. 24-29-1).
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a matchup of two heavyweights. The sweet-shooting Golden State offense ranks first in the league in that metric at 0.563, while the elite Miami defense is ranked second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.507).