Looking to win big? The Heat and Warriors face off at 10:00 ET on NBCS. The Warriors are hosting the game at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 227.5 points, and the Warriors are favored to win at home against the Heat.


The Pick: Miami Heat +2.5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-111 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.2% and knocking down 13 threes.

Can The Heat Secure a Win at San Francisco?

The Miami Heat head into today’s matchup against the Warriors as the 2.5-point underdogs and will be looking for their 4th straight win. So far, Miami is 18-12 and 4th in the Eastern Conference.

When playing on the road, the Heat have gone 9-6 this season and have an average scoring differential of +2.8 points per contest. Their average over/under line for games this season is 221.3 points.

Against the spread, Miami is 14-15 and have covered the spread in three straight games. As the underdog, their overall ATS record is 6-6, and they have gone 9-5 on the road vs. the spread.

In their last game, the Heat took down the 76ers by a score of 119-113. Miami was favored by 2 points and picked up the ATS win as they won by 6.

When playing on the road, the Heat offense is ranked 24th, scoring 110.1 points per game. Overall, they are 19th in scoring, averaging 113.4 points per game. As they approach today’s game, Jimmy Butler is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 21.5 points per game. Bam Adebayo is also contributing 22 points per game.

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 8th in the league, allowing an average of 111.9 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.6 turnovers per game, ranking 12th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.2 blocked shots each game.

Can the Warriors Grab a Win at Home?

As the Warriors get set to take on the Heat, they find themselves favored by 2.5 points. So far, Golden State has an overall record of 15-15, which has them 5th in the Pacific Division and 11th in the Western Conference.

Against the spread, the Warriors are 14-15, and they have also covered the spread in four straight games at home. At home, Golden State is 9-6 and has an average scoring differential of +1.1 PPG.

When looking at their over/under record, the team’s games have averaged 233 points, and their average over/under line is 229.6. The team’s over/under record for the season is 16-13-1, and today’s line of 227.5 is right around their average over/under line for the season.

Golden State’s last game ended in a 120-114 loss to the Nuggets. Going into that game, the Warriors were 7.5-point underdogs, which they were able to cover.

The Warriors are coming off a game in which they scored 114 points, just below their season average of 117.1. Stephen Curry leads the team with 27.9 PPG, while Klay Thompson is second on the team at 17.3 PPG.

At this time, the Warriors’ defense is positioned 19th in the NBA, permitting 115.9 points per game. Inside the arc, the Warriors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.8% and 35.2% from three-point territory.