At 7:00 ET, the Miami Heat (37-31) will take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (43-25) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are currently 2.5-point underdogs and have a moneyline of +113, while the Cavaliers are favored by 2.5 and have a moneyline of -136. The over/under line is set at 202.

This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland and can be seen on BSOH.

MIAMI HEAT VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +2.5

This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, March 20th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-111 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Our projections have Darius Garland finishing with Darius Garland points, 2 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 10 threes.

Do the Heat Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 24-44, and their games have averaged a combined 219 points. Today’s O/U line of 202 is lower than all of their previous games this season.

In Miami’s last game against the 76ers, the teams combined for just 189 points, which was well below the O/U line of 205.5. The Heat lost the game by a score of 98-91.

Miami is currently 37-31 on the season, which has them in 8th place in the Eastern Conference. As the underdog, they are 10-20 for the season and have lost two straight against the spread.

This season, Miami has an ATS record of 31-34, going 19-14 ATS on the road. In their games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 25-18 compared to 12-13 against the West.

For the season, Miami has a scoring differential of +0.9 points per game on the road. They are 20-16 on the road this season, which is 9th in the Eastern Conference.

Heading into the game, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 109.8 points per game. However, their scoring average is even lower on the road at 107.1 points per game.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 36.8% of their games. They have also scored less than their own scoring average in each of their last seven games.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 11th in the league at 37%. Overall, they are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%.

This season, the Heat’s defense is the 4th ranked defense in the NBA at 4th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 76.5% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 12 per game, which is 7th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.4 per game.

Will Cleveland Come Through as Home Favorites?

In their last game against the Pacers, the Cavaliers won by a score of 108-103. The O/U line for that game was 225.5, and Cleveland covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Cavaliers have an O/U record of 31-36-1, and their games have averaged a combined 223 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 202, which is lower than all of their previous games.

Cleveland has been the favorite in 45 of their 68 games this season and has a record of 32-13 in those games. As the favorite, they are 21-23 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.8 PPG.

Against the Eastern Conference, the Cavaliers are 28-17, which is good for 3rd place in the East. In their own division, they are 10-5 and are currently 2nd in the Central.

At home, the Cavaliers are 22-13 straight up and 17-18 against the spread. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 3.7 PPG at home.

Overall, the Cavaliers are 43-25 this season, and they are favored by 2.5 points against the Heat. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 3rd place.

At home, the Cavaliers are averaging 114.5 points per game this season (17th). Overall, they are 19th in the league with 113.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Cleveland is 20th in the NBA at 97.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Cavaliers are 13th in field goal percentage (47%). They have made 56% of their two-point attempts (10th) but are just 16th in three-point shooting at 36%. Cleveland is 6th in the NBA in three-point attempts.

So far this season, the Cavaliers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.1% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 10th in the league with 27.8 per game. Cleveland is also 20th in offensive rebounds.

At present, the Cavaliers’ defense is ranked 6th, allowing 109.5 points per game. Cleveland’s defense is currently forcing 12.6 turnovers per game, which is 16th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 19th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.9 rejections per game.