Betting on today’s Heat and Hawks game? Catch the action at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA, as the Hawks hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on BSSE. The over/under for this Southeast division contest is set at 228.5 points, with the Hawks being the favored team playing at home against the Heat.


The Pick: Miami Heat +4.5

This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Saturday, November 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-109 in favor of the Hawks.
  • Our projections have Trae Young finishing with Trae Young points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Hawks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.2% and knocking down 13 threes.

Does Miami Have a Shot at a Road Win?

The Heat are set to play the Hawks, with a chance to surpass .500, considering their current record of 4-4. In their eight games, the Heat have achieved a 2-3 record in games against Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 2-1 record in non-conference play.

Miami currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 2-6 at this point. Miami has not been good vs. the spread in their last four home games, and they are 0-4 ATS at home compared to 2-2 on the road.

In their latest game, the Heat offense put up 108 points against the Grizzlies. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.5% and made 11 threes. In terms of offense, the Heat have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 24th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 4th in percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 37.5% of their games. Currently, they are 10th in the NBA at 110.1 points per game allowed.

Opponents are hitting 55.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.8% of their three-point attempts.

Will Atlanta Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Today, the Hawks are entering the action with an overall record of 5-3 and have achieved a 2-1 record over their last three games. The team is presently 4th in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the Southeast division.

Atlanta possesses an ATS record of 3-5 for this season, including their ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. During this season, Atlanta has a 0-3 record against the spread as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs.

The Hawks’ offense wrapped up their last game with 120 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 121.8 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Hawks have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 12th in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 20th in terms of percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Hawks is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 117.0 points per game (24th).

Opponents are hitting 56.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.0% of their three-point attempts.