Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Hurricanes versus the Tar Heels? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. The over/under for this Atlantic Coast conference contest is set at 154.5 points, with North Carolina being favored by -14 at home against Miami (FL).


The Pick: Miami (FL) Hurricanes +14

This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 7:00 ET on Monday, February 26th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
  • Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like Miami (FL) at +14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can Miami (FL) Stun the Crowd at Dean E. Smith Center?

After losing their sixth straight game, the Miami Hurricanes are now 15-13 overall and 6-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. On the road, they have gone just 2-8, and their average scoring margin is -9.3 points per game.

As an underdog, Miami has gone just 2-9 this season, and they have been the underdog in 11 of their 26 games. The Hurricanes’ last win came on the road, as they beat Pittsburgh 66-58.

As the underdog, Miami (FL) has an ATS record of 4-6-1 this season and their overall ATS record is 13-13-2. On the road, the Hurricanes are 3-6-1 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 road ATS record is 0-3. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Miami (FL) is 4-5-1.

This season, the over/under record for Miami games is 13-15, and today’s line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (152.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points, and their OU record in their last three games is 2-1.

The Hurricanes’ offense wrapped up their last game with 76 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Norchad Omier, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17.1, while Wooga Poplar also maintains a PPG average of 13.7 leading up to the game.

The Hurricanes’ defense is presently ranked 207th nationally, allowing an average of 73.2 points per contest. The Miami (FL) defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 80 points and allowed Georgia Tech to connect on 13 threes.

Can North Carolina Secure a Home Victory?

North Carolina enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 25 of their 27 games this season. They have gone 20-5 in those games, and they have gone 13-2 at home this season.

Coming off a 54-44 win over Virginia, the Tar Heels have now won two straight games. They have been excellent at home this season, going 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

As the favorite this season, North Carolina has gone 15-10 against the spread. Their ATS record at home is 9-6 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. At home this season, the Tar Heels have gone 2-1 ATS over their last 3 games and 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games.

On the season, the over/under record for North Carolina games is 14-13. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (153.1). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

In their recent matchup, the North Carolina offense ended with 54 points against Virginia. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 32% and made 7 threes. Offensively, the Tar Heels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 212nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 130th in terms of percentage and 132nd in three-pointers made.

North Carolina’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.4 points per game. The North Carolina defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 44 points and allowed Virginia to connect on 2 threes.