The Week 4 of the NFL will kick off with TNF on Thursday, September 29 when the lone undefeated AFC team comes to Ohio, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Dolphins vs. Bengals betting pick and odds.
Miami is the only AFC team with a perfect record after the opening three weeks in the NFL and will be looking to stay that way when they visit Cincinnati at Paycor Stadium. The Bengals are -3.5 favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook, while the total is set at 47 points. These AFC rivals have previously met in 2020 when the Dolphins won 19-7 in Miami.
Dolphins upset the Bills in Miami
The Miami Dolphins are the only undefeated team in the AFC and just one of two unbeaten in the entire NFL (Philadelphia Eagles). Although the Buffalo Bills were dominant in terms of total yards (497-212) and first downs (31-15), the Dolphins got away with a tight 21-19 victory. The visitors had even 40 minutes of possession opposite Miami’s 19, but that didn’t help them to get a win here.
Tua Tagovailoa cooled off from his six-touchdown display in a win over Baltimore in Week 2 and completed 13 of 18 passes for 186 yards and one touchdown. The run offense didn’t work for the Dolphins as they collected just 41 yards on 17 rushes, but Chase Edmonds did record two touchdowns. River Cracraft caught his lone pass for a TD, while Jaylen Waddle led all the receivers with 102 yards on four receptions. On defense, Melvin Ingram had two sacks, while Jerome Baker and Jevon Holland combined for 23 total tackles.
QB Tua Tagovailoa is dealing with back and ankle soreness in addition to a potential concussion he suffered last week but was allowed to return to the game. He is questionable to play on Thursday, as well as WR Jaylen Waddle (groin) and WR Cedric Wilson (ribs and toe). Miami could be also without several players from the offensive line and secondary such as LT Terron Armstead (toe), RT Greg Little (finger), and CB Xavien Howard (groin).
Bengals recorded their first win of the season
The Cincinnati Bengals have disappointed in their first two games of the NFL campaign, but they justified the role of a favorite and covered a -6.5 spread in a 27-12 victory over the New York Jets on the road. It was a pretty equal game when it comes to total yards (330-328) and first downs (20-19), but Cincy’s defense forced four turnovers, and the offense committed only one in return.
Joe Burrow completed 23 of 36 passes for 275 yards and three touchdowns. Tyler Boyd, who caught one of Burrow’s TD passes, led all the receivers with 105 yards on four catches. Tee Higgins followed him with 93 yards on five receptions, while the Bengals weren’t effective in the running game with just 69 yards on 28 carries. Trey Hendrickson got 2.5 sacks in this win, while Akeem Davis-Gaither led all the defenders with 13 total tackles.
WR Tee Higgins (toe), TE Hayden Hurst (groin), and CB Eli Apple (ankle) are questionable to face the Dolphins on Thursday.
- 3-14 ATS in the last 17 games in Week 4
- 9-2 ATS in the last 11 games overall
- 7-1 ATS in the last eight games following an ATS win
- 8-1 ATS in the last nine vs. AFC rivals
- 7-0 ATS in the last seven vs. a team with a winning record
Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick
Miami has been impressive so far, but the Dolphins were lucky to avoid a loss against the Bills, and I don’t think they will be lucky again on Thursday. They have a lot of questionable players for this game in Ohio, and if they play without Tagovailoa and Waddle, their offense will be ineffective. Keep an eye on team news prior to the kick off before placing a bet, but at this moment, the Bengals seem to be closer to victory. Cincy’s offense wasn’t great in the opening two games, but both offense and defense improved against the Jets, and I expect Burrow to lead his team to another win on Thursday.
Pick: Take the Bengals at -3.5 (-110)
If Miami plays without two of their most important three offensive players in this game, I expect to see the visitors struggle on offense and score fewer than 20 points. Cincinnati’s offense did improve in Week 3, but the Dolphins’ defense managed to keep the Bills to just 19 points, so the hosts will not have an easy job here. Under is 5-1-1 in the last seven H2H meetings; Under is 5-0 in the previous five H2H duels in Cincinnati, Under is 8-3 in the Dolphins’ last 11 vs. AFC rivals, while Under is 6-0 in the Bengals’ previous six vs. AFC opponents.
Pick: Go Under 47.5 points (-130)