Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Pick
- Updated: November 15, 2012
NFL Betting Game Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games when playing Buffalo
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games
- Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
- Miami is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 12 games when playing Miami
- Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
- Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
- Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Thursday Night Football this week heads to Ralph Wilson Stadium, where NFL betting fans will hope to pick the right side in this crucial AFC East duel between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills.
The Dolphins looked like a truly promising team two weeks ago, as they were coming off of their third straight win against the New York Jets and were on the right side of the playoff picture. Unfortunately for them, they have lost back to back games, the most recent of which was a dismal 37-3 effort that really has the team questioning itself. The season isn’t over by any stretch of the imagination, especially in the AFC, where matters are clearly wide open for the two Wild Card slots. Still, QB Ryan Tannehill has to be a whole heck of a lot better than he has been recently. He was picked off three times in the loss to the Titans, and he still only has two games of the eight that he started and completed in which he threw for more than 225 yards. That just isn’t going to cut it at this level, especially when you only have five TD passes for the campaign as well.
Buffalo lost a heartbreaker on the road to the New England Patriots last week, as QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw a pick in the end zone that ended any hopes for the upset. Now at just 3-6, this really is a must win game for the team, as there would almost certainly be no coming back from 3-7 with just six games left in the campaign and so many tiebreakers already lost. The Bills are a great offensive team at times with a lot of talent, and we think that the talent level is actually higher with RB Fred Jackson out of the fold than with him in it. He’ll sit this week with a concussion, which allows RB CJ Spiller to take over. Spiller is approaching 1,000 total yards from scrimmage this year, and he very well could get it when push comes to shove. WR Stevie Johnson is having a great year as well, but he is going to be one of the only healthy receivers in the bunch for sure. We already know that WR David Nelson is out for the season, and WR Donald Jones left the game against the Pats at the end with an undisclosed injury.
The Dolphins still feel like the better of these two teams, and it is probably going to show on Thursday night. Give the advantage to the Fins to come out and beat down the Bills, just as the Tennessee team that was beaten down the week before turned around and beat down the Fins. Miami 27 – Buffalo 17