The Warriors and Seahawks are set to face off at 7:00 ET on NEC. The Seahawks will host the game at Spiro Sports Center in Staten Island, NY. Merrimack College is favored by -3 in this Northeast conference matchup the against Wagner. The over/under for the game is set at 123.5 points.
MERRIMACK COLLEGE WARRIORS VS WAGNER SEAHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Wagner Seahawks +3
This game will be played at Spiro Sports Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE WAGNER SEAHAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 84-62 in favor of the Seahawks.
- Not only will Wagner pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 123.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Can the Warriors Grab a Win on the Road?
After a 63-47 win over Stonehill, Merrimack College is 10-10 overall and 4-2 in Northeast Conference play. They are 3-8 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is -5.9 points per game.
As the favorite, the Warriors are 6-4 this season, and they have been favored in 10 of their 20 games. So far, they are 1-4 on the road over their last five games and 3-7 in their last 10.
On the season, Merrimack has gone 12-5-1 vs. the spread and they are 8-2-1 on the road. However, over their last three road games, the Warriors have gone 0-2-1 vs. the spread and their record vs. the spread as the favorite is just 1-2 in their last three games.
This season, the over/under record for Merrimack is 8-10, and today’s line of 123.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (134.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points, and their OU record in those games is 2-1. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 123.5.
In contrast to their season average of 68.5 points per game, the Merrimack College had a below average performance. They scored 63 points against Stonehill and had a field goal percentage of 33.9%. Jordan Derkack is leading the team in scoring at 17 points per contest. Devon Savage has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.2 going into the game.
Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 81st rank in the nation, allowing 67.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Stonehill, the Skyhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 33% and a total of 47 points vs. Merrimack College.
Can Wagner Pull Off a Home Win?
Wagner enters this game as a 3-point underdog, and they have gone 3-6 this season when not favored. The Seahawks are 3-1 at home this year, and they have won their last two games at home.
So far this season, Wagner has gone 9-8 overall, and they are 3-2 in Northeast Conference games. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 7-3.
Wagner has been a decent team vs. the spread this season, going 7-8 overall. At home, the Seahawks have gone 3-1 vs. the spread, and over their last three home games, they are 2-0 vs. the spread. As the underdog, Wagner is 4-5 vs. the spread this season and their ATS mark as the underdog over their last 10 games is 4-6.
Today’s over/under line of 123.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Wagner’s games this season (128.8). So far, 14 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 126 points.
In their recent matchup, the Wagner offense ended with 61 points against Sacred Heart. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.4% and made 6 threes. The Wagner offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 33% of their looks from outside this season.
This season, the Wagner defense has been impressive, holding the 11th position in the country while permitting an average of 62.5 points per contest. Wagner’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Sacred Heart offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 66 points.