Betting on today’s Warriors and Knights game? Catch the action at Bogota Savings Bank Center in Hackensack, NJ, as the Knights hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. Merrimack College come into this Northeast conference matchup as the -3 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 146.5 points.


The Pick: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +3

This game will be played at Bogota Savings Bank Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 83-63 in favor of the Knights.
  • Not only will Fairleigh Dickinson pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Does Merrimack College Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

As Merrimack College prepares to take on Fairleigh Dickinson, the Warriors are favored by three points. Merrimack has an overall record of 18-10 and has won nine straight games. So far, the Warriors are 14-4 when favored.

On the road, Merrimack is 8-8 this season, and they have won five straight games away from home. Over their last 10 road games, the Warriors have gone 6-4.

As the favorite this season, Merrimack has gone 8-9-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Warriors are 5-5 ATS. On the road, Merrimack has an ATS mark of 10-5-1 this year and is just 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.

On the season, the over/under record for Merrimack games is 11-15 and their matchups have averaged 132.7 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (134.4). So far, 25 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average of 136 points scored.

In their most recent game, the Warriors’ offense tallied 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 69.4 points per game. Offensively, the Warriors hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 238th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 372nd in terms of percentage and 243rd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 36th in the country at 65.9 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Merrimack College’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.6% this season.

Can the Knights Offense Score Enough at Home?

Through 29 games this season, Fairleigh Dickinson has a record of 14-15. The Knights are 8-6 in Northeast Conference play and 6-9 in non-conference games. At home, they are 5-6, and their average scoring margin is -2.1 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Fairleigh Dickinson is 4-12. They have been the underdog in 16 of their 29 games. In their last game, the Knights defeated Le Moyne, 68-58. Over their last 10 home games, they have gone 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Fairleigh Dickinson has gone 6-10 against the spread. At home, their ATS mark is just 3-7-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Knights have a 3-7 ATS record.

So far this season, the over/under record for Fairleigh Dickinson games is 16-11. Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year (154.4) and the average OU line in their games (152.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 161 points.

The Fairleigh Dickinson offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Le Moyne. Overall their field goal percentage was 36.2% while connecting on 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Ansley Almonor, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17, while Sean Moore also maintains a PPG average of 12.2 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Knights’ defense holds the 294th rank in the nation, allowing 78.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Le Moyne, the Dolphins finished with a field goal percentage of 35% and a total of 58 points vs. Fairleigh Dickinson.