The Bears and Spartans are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Spartans will host the game at Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, NC. The over/under for this Southern conference contest is set at 134.5 points, with UNCG being favored by -11.5 at home against Mercer.


The Pick: Mercer Bears +11.5

This game will be played at Greensboro Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Even though we have UNCG winning straight-up, we like Mercer at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Bears Stand a Chance on the Road?

After losing their last game to Citadel by a score of 68-66, Mercer’s record now stands at 8-12. Their losing streak has reached five games, and they are just 1-6 in Southern Conference play.

On the road this season, the Bears have gone 3-7, and their average scoring margin is -4.8. Over their last 10 road games, Mercer has gone 3-7, and they have gone 1-4 over their last five games away from home.

Against the spread, Mercer has a .500 record of 8-8-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-5-1, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-5-1 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Bears have gone 5-6 vs. the spread this year and are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Mercer games is 10-6-1. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 134.5. The average scoring total in their games this year is 140.5 points, which is higher than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

Most recently, the Mercer offense finished with just 66 points vs. Citadel. For the game, they hit 7/22 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 45%. Jalyn McCreary is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.5. Meanwhile, Jake Davis also brings a PPG average of 9.9 into the game.

On the defensive side, Mercer is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.2 points per game. Mercer’s three-point defense is currently 43rd in the country at 5.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.1% of their shots vs. Mercer.

Can the Spartans Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

UNCG has been dominant at home this season, going 8-0 with an average scoring margin of +10.5 points per game. They have won 10 straight games at home and are 10-1 this season when favored.

In their last game, the Spartans defeated Wofford by a score of 82-59. Over their last 10 home games, UNCG is a perfect 10-0, and they have won three straight.

UNCG has an ATS record of 7-10 this season, including a mark of 3-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in UNCG games is 10-7 and today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their over/under record in those games is 3-0.

The Spartans’ offense finished with 82 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 77.5 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 113rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 40th in terms of percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

The Spartans’ defense is presently ranked 88th nationally, allowing an average of 68.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UNCG’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.3% this season.