Betting on today’s Bears and Paladins game? Catch the action at Timmons Arena in Greenview, SC, as the Paladins hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. This Southern conference matchup has an over/under of 149 points, and Furman is favored to win by -9.5 at home vs. Mercer.


The Pick: Mercer Bears +9.5

This game will be played at Timmons Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Paladins.
  • Even though we have Furman winning straight-up, we like Mercer at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Bears Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Despite being an underdog, Mercer has been an underdog in 17 of their 30 games this season, and they have gone 6-11 in those games. On the road, the Bears have gone just 4-10 this season, and they have lost their last three games away from home. On the year, they are being outscored by an average of 6.9 points per game on the road.

Coming into this game, Mercer is 14-16 overall, and they have gone 7-10 in Southern Conference play. Their most recent game was an 84-75 loss to Chattanooga, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games on the road.

As the underdog, Mercer has gone 9-8 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS mark is 14-12-1. On the road, the Bears are 5-8-1 vs. the spread this year and have gone 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games. In their last 10 road games, Mercer has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Mercer games is 15-10-2, and today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (139.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-4-1.

The Mercer offense is coming off a game in which they scored 75 points vs. Chattanooga. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.7% while connecting on 8 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Jalyn McCreary, who holds an average of 15.6 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, David Thomas is averaging 10 points per game this season.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 160th in the country, permitting 71.7 points per game. The Mercer defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 84 points and allowed Chattanooga to connect on 7 threes.

Can the Paladins Pull Off a Home Win?

At home this season, Furman has been dominant, going 11-2 with an average scoring margin of +9.8 points per game. They’ve won their last three games at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they’ve gone 8-2. So far this season, they’ve been favored in 18 of their 30 games, going 14-4 in those contests.

Overall, Furman is 16-14 this season, and they’ve gone 10-7 in Southern Conference play. On the other hand, they’re just 3-11 on the road, and they’ve lost their last two games away from home. In their most recent game, they lost to Western Carolina, 85-77.

As the favorite this season, Furman has gone 8-10 vs. the spread. However, they have gone just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Paladins are 7-6 vs. the spread this year and 6-3 in their last 10 games at home.

Today’s over/under line of 149 for Furman’s game against Mercer is right in line with the average OU line in their games this season (155.5). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 2-1. On the season, their over/under record is 13-13-1.

In their recent matchup, the Furman offense ended with 77 points against Western Carolina. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41% and made 11 threes. In terms of offense, the Paladins have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 204th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 312nd in percentage and 22nd in three-pointers made.

Looking at the Furman defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 75.5 points per game (260th). The Furman defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 85 points and allowed Western Carolina to connect on 8 threes.