Looking to win big? The Tigers and Mustangs face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX. The odds for this American Athletic conference game currently have SMU as the -4.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 155 points.


The Pick: SMU Mustangs -4.5

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum at 4:00 ET on Sunday, February 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will SMU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Tigers Make it Happen in Dallas?

Memphis heads into this afternoon’s matchup with SMU as a 4.5-point underdog, and the Tigers have gone 2-3 as the underdog this season. Over their last 10 games on the road, Memphis has gone 5-5, and they come into today’s game with an 18-7 overall record.

Through 25 games, Memphis has gone 7-5 in American Athletic Conference play, and they are 11-2 at home compared to 7-5 on the road. In their last game, the Tigers lost to North Texas by a score of 76-66.

As the underdog this season, Memphis has gone just 2-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7, but they are just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last 5 road games and 0-3 in their last 3.

This season, the over/under record in Memphis games is 14-10-1, and today’s line of 155 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (151.5). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Recently, the average scoring total in their games is 157 points.

Most recently, the Memphis offense finished with just 66 points vs. North Texas. For the game, they hit 9/29 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 37.3%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Tigers offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.4 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

So far, the Tigers’ defense is ranked 259th in the country at 75.4 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Memphis defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as North Texas knocked down 16 three-pointers on their way to 76 points.

Will the Mustangs Make it Happen at Home?

The SMU Mustangs enter this game with a record of 18-7 and have won five straight games. At home, they are 11-2 this season, and their average margin of victory at home is +14.8 points per game. Over their last 10 home games, they are 9-1.

So far this season, SMU has been favored in 18 of their 25 games, going 16-2 in those contests. Their record in the American Athletic Conference is 9-3, and they are 9-4 in non-conference games.

SMU has an ATS record of 13-10-1 this season. At home, they are 5-7-1 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, they are 0-3 ATS, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

SMU’s over/under record for the season is 11-13 and their games have averaged 141.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 155 is higher than the average OU line in their games (143.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 156 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

SMU’s offense had a good outing, putting up 87 points against Tulane. They achieved a 41.5% field goal percentage and went 23/31 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Mustangs have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 133rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 183rd in percentage and 186th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Mustangs’ defense is positioned 30th in the country, permitting 65.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, SMU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.7% this season.