The Tigers and Pirates are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Pirates will host the game at Minges Coliseum in Greenville, NC. Memphis is favored by -4 in this American Athletic conference matchup the against East Carolina. The over/under for the game is set at 145 points.

MEMPHIS TIGERS VS EAST CAROLINA PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: East Carolina Pirates +4

This game will be played at Minges Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.

WHY BET THE EAST CAROLINA PIRATES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Pirates.
  • Not only will East Carolina pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Taking a Look at the Tigers Chances in Greenville

Coming into today’s game, Memphis has won two straight games, and they are 20-8 overall, including a 9-6 record in American Athletic Conference play. On the road, the Tigers are just 7-6, and their average scoring margin is -0.1 points per game.

So far this season, Memphis has been favored in 21 of their 28 games, going 17-4 in those contests. In their last game, the Tigers beat Florida Atlantic by a score of 78-74.

As the favorite, Memphis has gone 7-14 vs. the spread this season and just 3-7 over their last 10 games as the favorite. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-8 this year and 0-3 in their last three road games.

This season, the over/under record for Memphis games is 15-12-1 with their matchups averaging 155.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 145 is lower than the average OU line in their games (151.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

In their most recent game, the Tigers’ offense tallied 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 80 points per game. Offensively, the Tigers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 140th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 182nd in terms of percentage and 115th in three-pointers made.

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 255th nationally, allowing an average of 75.6 points per contest. The Memphis defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Florida Atlantic to connect on 5 threes.

Can the Pirates Please their Home Crowd?

East Carolina enters this game with a 14-13 overall record, including a 10-7 mark at home. They have gone 7-7 in American Athletic Conference play, and they are currently on a two-game home winning streak. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5.

As the underdog, the Pirates have gone 3-9 this season, and they are 3-6 on the road compared to 10-7 at home. So far, they have been the underdog in 12 of their 27 games.

As the underdog, East Carolina has gone 6-6 vs. the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Pirates have an ATS record of 5-5. At home, their ATS mark is 7-9-1 for the year and they are 4-5-1 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

East Carolina’s over/under record this season sits at 8-18 and today’s line of 145 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141.7). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than 145. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points.

The East Carolina offense is coming off a game in which they scored 52 points vs. Rice. Overall their field goal percentage was 35.2% while connecting on 7 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Russell Felton Jr. who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.5. Brandon Johnson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.7.

Coming into today’s game, the East Carolina defense is giving up an average of 67.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, East Carolina’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.4% this season.