The Timberwolves (-857) are favored by 12.5 points over the Grizzlies (+575) in this Western Conference matchup. The Over/Under line is set at 211.5 and tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET at Target Center in Minneapolis.

Minnesota (41-17) is currently riding a two-game winning streak and is in first place in the Western Conference. Memphis (20-38) has dropped two straight and is 13th in the West.


The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 99-78 in favor of the Timberwolves.
  • Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down 11 threes.

Can the Memphis Offense Score Enough on the Road?

The Grizzlies have lost two straight games as the underdog and are 14-30 as the underdog this season. Today, they are 12.5-point underdogs and have an ATS record of 23-21 as the underdog and 16-13 on the road.

In the Western Conference, Memphis is currently in 13th place with a record of 20-38. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 13-25 and 7-13 against non-conference opponents.

Memphis’ O/U record for the season is 25-32-1, and their games have averaged 219.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 211.5, and 57 of their games have had higher over/under lines.

In their last game, the Grizzlies lost to the Nets by a score of 111-86. The O/U line for that game was 214.5, and Memphis was getting 2.5 points going into the game.

This season, the Grizzlies are 28-30 against the spread and have an ATS record of 16-13 on the road. In their last game, they did not cover the spread.

When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are one of the worst teams in the NBA, ranking 30th in points per game at 106.5. However, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 109.1 points away from home.

In terms of pace, Memphis is 17th in the league with an average of 98.2 possessions per game. They are also one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 5th in three-point attempts and 10th in made threes.

Overall, the Grizzlies have struggled with their field goal percentage, ranking 29th in the league at 44%. They have also been one of the worst teams in two-point shooting at just 51%.

So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 9th in the league at 112.8 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Grizzlies defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.8% and 37.9% from three-point territory.

Will the Timberwolves Defense Show Up at Home?

Minnesota is looking to extend their win streak to three games as they face the Grizzlies today. The Timberwolves are favored by 12.5 points and have a record of 41-17, which is the best in the Western Conference.

As the favorite, Minnesota has a record of 35-12 this season. In their last two games as the favorite, they have gone 2-0 straight-up and 23-23 against the spread. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 9 points per game when favored.

Against the spread, Minnesota is 30-27 for the season and 14-13 at home. The Timberwolves have won two straight games at home and are 21-6 overall. Their ATS record at home is 7-4.

In their last game, Minnesota beat the Spurs by a score of 114-105. The O/U line for that game was 222, and the Timberwolves were favored by 12.5 points. The combined scoring for the game was 219.

Minnesota’s O/U record for the season is 28-30, and their games have averaged a combined 220 points. In all of their games this year, the O/U line has been higher than today’s line of 211.5 points.

Minnesota is a team that is known for their three-point shooting. They are currently 3rd in the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. On average, they make 12.6 threes per game which is 15th in the NBA.

When it comes to scoring, the Timberwolves are 20th in the league at 113.6 points per game. At home, they are averaging 112.1 points compared to 115 points on the road.

Overall, Minnesota has a field goal percentage of 48% which is 8th in the NBA. They are also 7th in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, the Timberwolves are 25th in the league at 97.4 possessions per game.

At this time, the Timberwolves’ defense is positioned 1st in the NBA, permitting 106.4 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Timberwolves are causing 13.9 turnovers per game, ranking 24th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 7th in rejections, averaging 5.9 blocked shots each game.