At 10:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-1001) will host the Grizzlies (+641) at Target Center in Minneapolis. Minnesota is currently on a three-game win streak and favored by 13.5 points.

This Western Conference matchup can be seen on TNT. The over/under line for this game is 215 points.


The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +13.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-110 in favor of the Timberwolves.
  • Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 13 threes.

Can the Memphis Offense Score Enough on the Road?

This season, Memphis has an O/U record of 16-23-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s line is set at 215 points, which is lower than their season average of 221.5.

In Western Conference games, the Grizzlies are 12-20 compared to 3-5 against the East. This puts them 13th in the West, 11 games behind the 8th seed. In the Southwest Division, they are 4th.

Against the spread, Memphis is 17-23 this season, including a 12-9 mark on the road. As the underdog, they are 9-18 and have covered the spread in three straight road games.

Memphis comes into today’s game after a 116-107 win over the Warriors. They were 7.5-point underdogs in that game and have now won three straight on the road. The combined scoring in that game was 223, and the O/U line was 226.5.

This season, the Grizzlies are 29th in the NBA in scoring at 108.2 points per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 111.0 points per game compared to 105.2 at home.

When it comes to pace, the Grizzlies are 12th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 29th at 43%.

One area where Memphis has excelled is three-point shooting. They are 9th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game at 13.5. However, they are just 29th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%.

On defense, the Grizzlies come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 113.7 points per contest (10th). The Memphis defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Memphis.

Do the Timberwolves Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Minnesota is favored by 13.5 points against the Grizzlies today. This is the 31st time this season that the Timberwolves have been favored, and they have a record of 25-6 in those games. As the favorite, they have won their last four games straight-up and have an ATS record of 15-15.

The Timberwolves’ O/U record for the season is 21-19, and their games have averaged 220.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 215, and Minnesota has had just one game with a lower O/U line than that.

Minnesota’s last game was a 124-117 win over the Pistons. The O/U line for that game was 223 points. The Timberwolves were favored by 12.5 points in that game, so they did not cover the spread.

Overall, Minnesota is 29-11 this season, which is the best record in the Western Conference. In the West, they are 20-6 against other teams and 5-1 against division opponents. The Timberwolves have won three straight games.

When it comes to scoring, the Timberwolves have been below the NBA average in 57.5% of their games this season. At home, they are averaging 112.6 points per game, which is 25th in the league.

So far, the Timberwolves have made 48% of their shots, which is 6th in the NBA. However, they are just 23rd in pace at 97.9 possessions per game.

Minnesota has been one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, connecting on 38% of their attempts (3rd). However, they are just 19th in three-point makes (12.2 per game).

Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves’ defense is giving up an average of 107.6 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 8th in blocked shots at 5.9 per game.