Last Updated: 2017-11-11
The NBA’s top shooting defense will be 6-point underdogs on the road at Toyota Center, when the Memphis Grizzlies (7-4) meet the Houston Rockets (9-3). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208.5 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 11, 2017.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rockets ATS Odds
Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Rockets beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-113, while the Grizzlies barely escaped the Portland Trail Blazers 98-97.
Memphis played a nearly flawless game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.288 (above their season average of 0.245) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.527 (above their season average of 0.504). For those same stats, Portland was 0.235 and 0.481, respectively. Houston, meanwhile, won the rebounding battle. The Rockets had 17 offensive rebounds and 45 total rebounds, while the Cavaliers had four and 26, respectively. James Harden played an enormous role in the victory for Houston with 35 points, 13 assists and 11 rebounds to register his first triple-double this season. Meanwhile, Tyreke Evans had a good game for Memphis, finishing with 21 points and five assists.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Houston ranks second in offensive efficiency and Memphis is fourth in defensive efficiency. Additionally, put-back points figure to be tough to come by for the Grizzlies. They rank 29th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 17.7 percent, while the Rockets are the best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 83.0 percent).
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as seven of their 11 games have gone under the O/U total. Memphis holds records of 7-4 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is highly accurate when setting the total of Rockets games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, Houston is 9-3 SU and 6-6 ATS.
The Grizzlies’ Evans has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 22.2 points and 3.4 assists per game. Meanwhile, Harden has averaged 33.0 points, 9.6 assists and 1.8 steals during that same time frame for the Rockets.
In their two contests this year, the Grizzlies have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 192 points, which was under the projected point total of 202. Memphis won 103-89, covering as a 2-point underdog. The Grizzlies’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Rockets. Memphis had a rate of 9.1, while Houston posted a mark of 16.5. Chandler Parsons was the game’s top overall scorer with 24 points.
Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
The Grizzlies rank 19th in points in the paint per game (43.1) while the Rockets rank 25th (40.8).
Memphis ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (11.2) while Houston ranks 22nd (19.7).
The Rockets rank second in rebounds allowed per game (40.1) while the Grizzlies rank 17th (44.7).
Memphis ranks fourth in fast break points per game (14.5) while Houston ranks 15th (9.7).
Memphis ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.3) while Houston ranks ninth (7.8).
The Rockets rank first in three pointers attempted per game (44.7) while the Grizzlies rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (28.8).
The Rockets rank 16th in assists per game (21.9) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (19.4).
Houston ranks 13th in blocks per game (4.9) while Memphis ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
Houston ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (9.2) while Memphis ranks 19th (12.7).
Memphis is 5-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Houston is 3-1.
When scoring above 100 points, the Rockets are 9-1 and the Grizzlies are 4-1.
Houston is 2-3 ATS at home, while Memphis is 3-2 ATS on the road.
The Grizzlies have 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push in 5 road games.
In 5 home games, the Rockets have 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
In their last five games, Houston has 5 overs, while Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.0, up from 6.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 102.2 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (4.6 above their season average).
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