The Detroit Pistons (17-28) will be at home in Little Caesars Arena when they go head-to-head against the Memphis Grizzlies (20-24). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis Grizzlies at Detroit Pistons ATS Preview
The Grizzlies lost big to the Boston Celtics in their last contest, 119-95. They were unable to cover as 7-point underdogs. With 16 points on 7-for-13 shooting, Jonas Valanciunas led Memphis in scoring. Boston’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Memphis. The Celtics had a rate of 8.4 (better than their season average of 11.5), while the Grizzlies posted a mark of 14.9. The two teams combined to score 214 points, which was well under the projected point total of 233.5.
The last time the Pistons were in action, they thoroughly outplayed the Sacramento Kings, 127-106, as 2-point underdogs. Detroit was lifted by Derrick Rose, who finished with 22 points, 11 assists and six rebounds. The Pistons made 37 of their 44 free throws (84.1 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.616 (above their season average of 0.536). Combined, the two squads scored 233 points, which came in over the projected point total of 222.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Pistons won both contests played against each other last season. In the last matchup, Detroit won 100-93. Detroit had a much better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 21.2). Memphis, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.551 vs. 0.455).
Of Memphis’ 44 games, 22 have finished over the projected point total, while 27 of Detroit’s 45 games have finished over the projected point total. The Grizzlies come into this game with much better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 20-24 SU and 22-21-1 ATS, while the Pistons are 17-28 SU and 17-26-2 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Grizzlies, it’s been Valanciunas, who has averaged 19 points,12.6 rebounds,1.6 blocks, while the Pistons have gotten solid contributions from Rose (23 points,6.4 assists).
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Detroit should have a noteworthy edge. The elite Pistons offense ranks sixth in the league in that metric at 0.538, while the Memphis defense is ranked 19th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.534).
Memphis Grizzlies at Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
The Grizzlies average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Pistons rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
Memphis ranks 11th in steals per game (7.9) while Detroit ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Detroit averages 13.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Memphis ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
Memphis ranks 16th in rebounds per game (45.5) while Detroit ranks last (42.3).
On the road, Memphis is 9-9-1 ATS with 11 unders and 8 overs.
Detroit is 9-13 ATS at home with 15 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Memphis is 1-0 and Detroit is 4-0.
The Pistons are 16-20 when they score more than 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 20-18.
The Grizzlies rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.7) while the Pistons rank 19th (12.1).
Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (55.3) while Detroit ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
The Grizzlies rank first in assists per game (27.9) while the Pistons rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.6).
The Pistons rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while the Grizzlies rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.0).
Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.2) while Memphis ranks 20th (34.6).
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 5 unders.
The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 10.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Detroit has been defeated by an average of 1.4 points.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (2.9 below their season average).