Don’t miss out on the NBA showdown between the Grizzlies and Nuggets. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ALT, and it’s hosted by the Nuggets at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Western conference contest is set at 225.5 points, with the Nuggets being the favored team playing at home against the Grizzlies.


The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +7

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 108-102 in favor of the Nuggets.
  • Our projections have Jamal Murray finishing with Jamal Murray points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Grizzlies Pull Off a Road Win?

As the Grizzlies get set to take on the Nuggets, they will look to continue their four-game win streak and their three-game win streak as the underdog. So far, the Grizzlies are 10-19, which has them in 4th place in the Southwest and 13th place in the Western Conference.

When playing on the road, Memphis has gone 8-8 this season, and they are coming off an ATS win in their last game, 116-115, as a 4.5-point underdog. So far, the Grizzlies are 13-16 ATS and have an over/under record of 12-17.

When looking at their over/under record for the season, the average combined score in their games is 219.8, and the average over/under line is 223.7. Memphis’ games have finished with a higher over/under line than today’s line of 225.5 in 10 of their 29 games.

The Grizzlies’ over/under record in games with a higher over/under line than 225.5 is 6-4, and their over/under record in games with a line lower than 225.5 is 5-13.

In their last game vs. the Pelicans, the Grizzlies offense put up 116 points. They shot 43.3% from the field and made 11 three-pointers. Desmond Bane is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 25.2 PPG, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is right behind him at 21.3 PPG.

This season, the Grizzlies defense has been impressive, holding the 11th position in the league while permitting an average of 112.4 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 51.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.5% of their three-point attempts.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Nuggets?

At home this season, the Nuggets are 12-2, and they have been favored in 14 of their 32 games. Overall, they are in 3rd place in the West with a record of 22-10.

Denver has also won five straight games and are 3rd in the Western Conference standings. Against teams outside of the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 8-2 this season.

When favored, Denver has gone 21-8 but are just 13-15 vs. the spread as the favorite. Denver’s average scoring differential at home this season is +10.4 points per contest.

The over/under line for their last game was 235.5 points, and the teams combined for 234 points, leading to an under. Denver won the game by six but did not cover as 7.5-point favorites.

For the season, the Nuggets’ games have finished with an average over/under line of 225.8 and an average of 225.3 points per contest. Their over/under record this season is 11-20-1.

Looking at their last game, the Nuggets put up 120 points, which is consistent with their season average of 115.1 points per game. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 4th in the league with a 48% field goal percentage. When it comes to three-pointers, the Nuggets are 8th in percentage and 23rd in makes.

At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 4th, allowing 110.2 points per game. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.4 turnovers per game, which is 2nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 14th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.4 rejections per game.