The Grizzlies and Nuggets are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ALT. The Nuggets will host the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. This Western conference matchup has an over/under of 224.5 points, and the Nuggets are favored to win at home vs. the Grizzlies.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +7
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 107-102 in favor of the Nuggets.
- Our projections have Jamal Murray finishing with Jamal Murray points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and knocking down 12 threes.
Is a Road Win Possible for the Grizzlies?
So far this season, the Grizzlies have an overall record of 10-19, which has them in 13th place in the Western Conference. Within their division, they are currently in 4th place.
When playing on the road, Memphis has gone 8-8 and have an average scoring differential of -3.4 points per contest.
As the underdog, Memphis has won three straight games and have an underdog record of 5-14. Against the spread, they have gone 9-7 on the road and have covered the spread in three straight games.
When playing other teams in the Western Conference, Memphis is 7-16 compared to going 3-3 in non-conference matchups. Their current road trip has them playing their 3rd straight game away from home.
Memphis will look to keep their win streak alive, which currently sits at four games. In their last game, they defeated the Pelicans by a score of 116-115. Going into the game, the Grizzlies were 4.5-point underdogs and ended up winning by one point.
So far this season, the average over/under line in the Grizzlies’ games is 223.7, and their games have finished with an average of 219.8 points. Their over/under record for the season is 12-17, including two straight overs.
Coming into the game, Memphis is averaging 107.3 points per game. However, they just put up 116 points against the Pelicans. Desmond Bane leads the team with 25.2 points per game while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 21.3 points per game.
The Grizzlies’ defense is presently ranked 11th in the league, allowing an average of 112.4 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Grizzlies defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.1% while allowing 38.5% from downtown.
Will the Nuggets Win at Ball Arena?
When playing at home, the Nuggets have been the favorites in 14 of their 14 games and have gone 12-2 straight up and 7-6 ATS at home. Denver is coming off a 120-114 win over the Warriors but did not cover the spread as 7.5-point favorites.
So far, Denver’s average scoring margin at home is +10.4 points per game compared to +.8 on the road. Against the spread, the Nuggets are 13-15 as the favorite and 1-2 vs. the spread at home.
Denver’s overall record this season is 22-10, which has them 3rd in the Western Conference. In their five straight wins, the Nuggets have picked up two wins at home and three on the road.
Against teams outside of the Western Conference, Denver is 8-2, compared to going 14-8 against other teams in the West. In the Northwest Division, the Nuggets are in 3rd place with a 2-2 division record.
Denver’s over/under record for the season is 11-20-1, and their games have averaged 225.3 points per contest. Today’s over/under line of 224.5 is slightly below their season average over/under line of 225.8.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets put up 120 points on the Warriors. They shot 48.8% from the field and knocked down 14 three-pointers. Jamal Murray led the team in scoring with 28 points, while Nikola Jokic was right behind him with 26 points.
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.2 points per game. Opponents are hitting 52.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.6% of their three-point attempts.