Southwest Division foes will collide when the Dallas Mavericks (38-25) meet the Memphis Grizzlies (31-31) at the American Airlines Center. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, March 6, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Grizzlies easily got past the Brooklyn Nets in their last outing, 118-79, despite being 4-point underdogs. With 18 points, six assists and five rebounds, Memphis’ Tyus Jones played well. Memphis played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 38.3 (above their season average of 22.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.530 (above their season average of 0.529). For those same stats, Brooklyn recorded marks of 24.1 and 0.372, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 197 points, which finished well under the O/U total of 216.5.
In the Mavericks’ last matchup, they topped the New Orleans Pelicans, 127-123, but they were not able to cover as 6-point favorites. Dallas’ Luka Doncic played a massive role in the victory, accumulating 30 points, 17 rebounds and 10 assists on his way to his 13th triple-double this season. The Mavericks knocked down 17 of their 24 free throws (70.8 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.579 (above their season average of 0.548). Combined, the two teams scored 250 points, which came in over the projected point total of 240.
These two teams have already met twice this year, each winning once. Kristaps Porzingis scored a game-high 32 points in the most recent contest, in which the Mavericks lost 121-107, unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 228 points, which was just 1.5 points above the projected point total of 226.5 points. Memphis was lights out from beyond the arc (12-25; 48.0 percent). Dallas, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (22-24; 91.7 percent).
Of Memphis’ 62 games, 33 have finished under the O/U total, while 39 of Dallas’ 63 games have finished over the O/U total. The Mavericks have the substantial advantage straight up (SU) (38-25 vs. 31-31) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (36-27 vs. 33-28-1).
The productive offense of Dallas (first in the league with an offensive efficiency of 114.6) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Memphis (15th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 108.1). The Mavericks should have the edge on that end of the court.
Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
The Mavericks rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (18.2).
Memphis ranks 11th in steals per game (8.0) while Dallas ranks 27th (6.1).
Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Memphis ranks 21st (5.4).
Memphis ranks second in assists per game (27.0) while Dallas ranks 13th (24.5).
Memphis is 15-15-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 13-18 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 20 of the Mavericks’ 31 home games, while 16 of the Grizzlies’ 31 road games have gone under.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Memphis is 7-0 and Dallas is 9-0.
When reaching the century mark, the Mavericks are 38-23 and the Grizzlies are 30-24.
The Mavericks rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.3) while the Grizzlies rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (56.6) while Dallas ranks 25th (44.4).
The Grizzlies average 17.9 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
The Grizzlies average 46.6 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Mavericks rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (45.4).
Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.4) while Memphis ranks 25th (31.1).
Dallas is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 6.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.8 points per game (13.9 below their season average).