Massachusetts Minutemen at Dayton Flyers ATS Odds Pick 01/11/20


The Massachusetts Minutemen (7-8, 1-1 A10) will attempt to put an end to a six-game road losing streak when they go head-to-head with the No. 15 Dayton Flyers (13-2, 2-0 A10) at University of Dayton Arena. Tip-off is set for 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 11, 2020, and it can be seen on NBC Sports Network.

Massachusetts Minutemen at Dayton Flyers Odds Preview

The last time the Minutemen played, they beat the La Salle Explorers, 77-69. With 12 points, 12 rebounds and six assists, Samba Diallo put together a good performance for Massachusetts. The Minutemen had an absurd free throw rate of 0.408 (above their season average of 0.207) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.582 (above their season average of 0.504).

The Flyers will look to keep it rolling after defeating the Saint Joseph’s Hawks in their last matchup, 80-67. Jalen Crutcher played a pivotal role for Dayton with 10 points, 10 assists and six rebounds. Dayton dominated every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 16.9) and a free throw rate of 0.279 (above their season average of 0.212). For those same stats, Saint Joseph’s was 15.6 and 0.236, respectively.

Dayton appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Flyers currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Minutemen rank 217th in defensive efficiency.

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after the Flyers won both contests last season. In the last game, Dayton won 72-48. The Flyers played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.362 and a great effective field goal percentage of 0.585. For those same stats, the Minutemen were 0.192 and 0.365, respectively.

Massachusetts Minutemen at Dayton Flyers ATS Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Minutemen are 25th in the country with 2.4 blocks allowed per game while the Flyers are 50th with 2.8 blocks allowed per game.

Massachusetts is 32nd in the NCAA with 18.1 three pointers allowed per game while Dayton is 54th with 19.4 three pointers allowed per game.

Dayton ranks second in assists per game (19.6) while Massachusetts ranks 209th in assists allowed per game (15.2).

The Flyers rank 33rd in rebounds allowed per game (31.5) while the Minutemen rank 208th (37.9).

Dayton ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (5.2) while Massachusetts ranks 163rd (7.6).

Bettings Trends:

The Flyers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.6, down from 17.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Minutemen have scored an average of 78.0 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average).


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