Last Updated: 2019-11-08
In a matchup between two programs that are nationally ranked in the Top 21 overall, the No. 3 Buckeyes (-42) are gearing up to welcome the No. 21 Maryland Terrapins to Ohio Stadium. This Big 10 game kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to broadcast the action.
No. 21 Maryland at No. 3 Ohio State Betting Odds 11/9/2019
Ohio State has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 42 points to Maryland. The over/under has been set at 63 points, and if one side gets out in front in the early stages, it will likely create a solid betting scenario in-game.
The Terrapins are 3-6 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Buckeyes are 8-0 SU overall and 5-0 SU in conference play. The disappointing Terrapins are down 5.3 units so far and 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3-1.
The surprising Buckeyes are up 5.0 units this season. The team is 7-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.
When these two schools met last year, Ohio State emerged victorious by a score of 52-51.
The Terrapins lost to Michigan 38-7 in a blowout where the passing attack left much to be desired as Josh Jackson completed only nine passes on 20 attempts for 97 yards and one interception. Anthony McFarland Jr. (60 yards on 14 rushes) propelled the ground attack while Brian Cobbs (four receptions, 52 yards) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (two catches, 26 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
The Ohio State Buckeyes just earned a blowout 38-7 win over Wisconsin. The defense held its ground in the victory, holding the Badgers to only 108 passing yards and 83 rushing yards. Quintez Cephus was a bright spot in the defeat for Wisconsin, posting 57 yards and a score on three catches. For Ohio State, Justin Fields completed 12-of-22 passes for 167 yards and two touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins (163 rushing yards on 20 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Fields (28 yards on 13 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running attack as Chris Olave (seven receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Maryland has run the ball on 54.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ohio State has an overall rush percentage of 63.9 percent. The Terrapins have produced 184 rush yards/game (including 138 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 20 scores on the ground this year. The Buckeyes are putting up 284 rushing yards per contest (308 in conference) and have 23 total rush TDs.
It appears that the Buckeyes might own the edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has produced 6.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.5 to opponents. The Terrapins have recorded 5.0 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.
The Terps have tallied 200 yards/contest through the air overall (170 per game against conference opposition) and have 14 passing scores so far. The Buckeyes have recorded 231 pass yards per outing (200.0 in the Big 10) and have 28 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Maryland has allowed 151 rush yards and 263 pass yards per game. Ohio State has been significantly better than that, giving up 91.5 yards per game on the ground and 132.8 to opposing teams in the air. The Buckeyes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.95 to opposing QBs, while the Terrapins have allowed a 7.28 ANY/A.
Jackson is up to 1,065 pass yards this season, and has completed 79-of-157 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and five interceptions. Jackson has a 5.48 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 0.81 over the last two games.
In the home locker room, Justin Fields has put up 1,465 yards, 20 TDs and one INT. Fields’ ANY/A sits at 9.54 for the year and 8.63 over his past two games.
Maryland Terrapins vs. Ohio State Buckeyes NCAA Prediction
SU Winner – Ohio State, ATS Winner – Maryland, O/U – Under
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Team Betting Trends
Ohio State has lost five fumbles this season while Maryland has let two get away.
The Ohio State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 34 times this year. Maryland has recorded just 18 sacks.
Maryland has averaged 3.6 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 3.0 over its last two.
Ohio State has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.2 over its last two.
In its last three matchups, Ohio State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Maryland’s last game was 58. The under cashed in the team’s 38-7 defeat to Michigan.
Over its last three matches, Maryland is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Ohio State’s last outing was 46. The under cashed in the team’s 38-7 win over Wisconsin.
Maryland has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with a 41-point victory over Rutgers on October 5th representing the only win over that stretch.