Planning on watching today’s Terrapins and Spartans game? Catch the action at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 5:30 ET on FOX. The over/under for this game is set at 129.5 points, and Michigan State is favored by -6.5 vs. Maryland in a Big Ten conference matchup.
MARYLAND TERRAPINS VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Michigan State Spartans -6.5
This game will be played at Breslin Center at 5:30 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Spartans.
- Not only will Michigan State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Are Maryland Ready for a Road Win?
After their most recent win, a 73-51 victory over Nebraska, Maryland is now 13-8 overall and 5-5 in Big Ten play. So far, they have gone 8-3 in non-conference games compared to 5-5 in Big Ten action.
As an underdog this season, the Terrapins have gone 3-5. On the road, they are 3-5 compared to 10-3 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -2.2 compared to +12.5 at home.
When looking at Maryland’s ATS record this season, they are currently 9-12. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-4. Over their last three road games, the Terps have gone a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread. As the underdog, Maryland has an ATS record of 4-4 this year and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Maryland’s games this season (136.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 126 points and their over/under record this season is 6-15.
In their latest game, Maryland offense put up 73 points against Nebraska. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.6% and made 11 threes. Offensively, the Terrapins hold a season-long field goal percentage of 41%, placing them 341st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 371st in terms of percentage and 291st in three-pointers made.
This season, the Maryland defense has been impressive, holding the 13th position in the country while permitting an average of 63.4 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Maryland defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Nebraska knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 51 points.
Does Michigan State Stand a Chance at Home?
Michigan State is 12-4 at home this season, and they have won their last eight games at the Breslin Center. Over their last 10 games at home, the Spartans are 9-1, and they are 11-4 this season when favored.
On the other hand, the Terps are 1-4 on the road this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -7.4 points per game away from home. So far this season, Maryland is 2-4 when they are the underdog.
Michigan State has an ATS record of 12-9 this season and is 10-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Michigan State games this season (142). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 136 points.
Michigan State’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 81 points against Michigan. They had an overall field goal percentage of 55.7% and made 4/8 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Tyson Walker who comes into today’s matchup averaging 18.9. A.J Hoggard also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.8.
Coming into today’s game, the Michigan State defense is giving up an average of 65.8 points per contest. Against Michigan, the Spartans’ defense gave up 62 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Michigan only made 4 free-throws.