The Terrapins and Fighting Illini are set to face off at 2:00 ET on BTN. The Fighting Illini will host the game at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL. The over/under for this game is set at 139 points, and the Fighting Illini are the home favorites against the Terrapins in a Big Ten conference matchup.
MARYLAND TERRAPINS VS ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI BETTING PICK
The Pick: Maryland Terrapins +9
This game will be played at State Farm Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, January 14th.
WHY BET THE MARYLAND TERRAPINS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
- Even though we have Illinois winning straight-up, we like Maryland at +9.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Terrapins Win in Champaign?
Despite being an underdog, Maryland has been the favorite in 11 of their 16 games this season, going 9-2 in those contests. On the road, they have a record of 1-4, compared to 9-2 at home. So far, they have a 2-3 record in Big Ten play and a 10-6 record overall.
After a win over Michigan, the Terrapins’ record on the road this season is 1-4. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 1-9. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -5.2 points per game.
As the underdog this season, Maryland has an ATS record of just 1-4 and they are just 5-11 overall vs. the spread. On the road, the Terps are 1-4 ATS this year and they have gone just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, Maryland is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
Today’s over/under line of 139 is higher than the average over/under line of 136.2 in Maryland’s games this year. So far, 11 of their games have finished with less points than 139. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 122 points.
Compared to their season average of 70.6 points per game, Maryland struggled in their previous game. Against Michigan, the Terrapins scored 64 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40.8%. The top scorer for the Terrapins was Donta Scott with 22 points, while Julian Reese also added 14 to the scoreboard.
Currently, the Terrapins’ defense holds the 22nd rank in the nation, allowing 63.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Michigan, the Wolverines finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 57 points vs. Maryland.
Pressure Builds for Illinois as Home Favorites
Illinois is 10-1 when favored this season, and they will be favored by nine points tonight against Maryland. Over their last ten games at home, the Fighting Illini are 9-1.
Illinois comes into this game with an overall record of 12-3, including a 3-1 record in Big Ten play. At home, the Fighting Illini are 10-1, and their average scoring margin at home is +18.8.
As the favorite this season, Illinois has gone 5-5-1 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 5-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini are 5-4-1.
So far this season, the over/under record for Illinois is 8-7. The average over/under line in their games is 147.1 and their games have averaged 149.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 139 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.
In their latest game, Illinois offense put up 71 points against Michigan State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.8% and made 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Terrence Shannon Jr., who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 21.7, while Marcus Domask also maintains a PPG average of 14.1 leading up to the game.
So far, the Fighting Illini’s defense is ranked 75th in the country at 66.9 points per contest. Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 84th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.8% of their shots vs. Illinois.