The Hawks and Bears are set to face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Hill Field House in Baltimore, MD. The over/under for this Mid-Eastern conference contest is set at 142 points, with Morgan State being favored by -5.5 at home against Maryland Eastern Shore.


The Pick: Morgan State Bears -5.5

This game will be played at Hill Field House at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Morgan State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Hawks Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

On the season, Maryland Eastern Shore has gone 7-14, including a 2-5 mark in Mid-Eastern Conference action. They have yet to win on the road, going 0-11, and their average margin of defeat in those games is -17.5 points per game. They are coming off a 69-60 win over Norfolk State.

As the underdog this season, Maryland Eastern Shore has gone 2-13 compared to 1-1 when favored. So far, they have been the underdog in 15 of their 21 games. For the year, they have gone 5-9 in non-conference games.

As the underdog, Maryland Eastern Shore has gone 7-8 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hawks have an ATS mark of 6-4. On the road, their ATS record is 5-6 this year and 5-5 over their last 10 games away from home.

This season, the over/under record for Maryland Eastern Shore is 7-10. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 138.7 and the average score is 134.8. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 129 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-1. Today’s over/under line of 142 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season.

The Maryland Eastern Shore offense is coming off a game in which they scored 69 points vs. Norfolk State. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.2% while connecting on 5 threes. Offensively, the Hawks have a season long field goal percentage of 39%, which is 397th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 374th in percentage and 305th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Hawks’ defense is ranked 118th in the country at 70.1 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Norfolk State, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 60 points vs. Maryland Eastern Shore.

Can Morgan State Secure a Home Victory?

After losing to Norfolk State by a score of 83-73, Morgan State’s record now sits at 8-15. They have gone 2-3 in conference play compared to their 6-12 non-conference record.

So far this season, the Bears have played 23 games, going 1-12 on the road and 2-3 at home. They have been underdogs 16 times, going 2-14 in those games, while they have been favored twice, going 1-1.

As the favorite, Morgan State has gone just 1-1 vs. the spread this season. Overall, the Bears have an ATS record of 8-9-1. At home, their ATS mark is 3-2, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Morgan State games is 11-7. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 151.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 142 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.7). Over their last three games, their games have finished with an average of 149 points compared to their season average of 151.7 points per game.

The Morgan State offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Norfolk State. They posted a field goal percentage of 49% and connected on 6 threes. Wynston Tabbs led the scoring for the Bears, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Allen Udemadu chipped in with 15 points.

Facing Maryland Eastern Shore, Morgan State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 78.5 points allowed per game (302nd). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Morgan State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.5% this season.