Looking to win big? The Thundering Herd and Trojans face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Trojans are hosting the game at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL. The over/under for this game is set at 154 points, and Troy is favored by -7.5 vs. Marshall in a Sun Belt conference matchup.


The Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd +7.5

This game will be played at Trojan Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Even though we have Troy winning straight-up, we like Marshall at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Marshall Win on the Road?

Marshall has played 24 games this season, going 12-12 overall and 7-4 in Sun Belt action. On the road, the Thundering Herd are 4-7, and their average scoring margin is -7.3 points per game.

As the underdog, Marshall has gone 3-6 this season, and they are 2-3 in their last five games on the road. Their most recent game was a 91-74 win over Coastal Carolina.

Marshall’s ATS record this season is currently 11-12, including a 5-6 mark vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Thundering Herd are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Marshall’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-14-1, and today’s line of 154 is just below the average over/under line in their games of 154.7. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points, which is higher than their season average of 151.4 points per game.

Marshall’s offense had a good outing, putting up 91 points against Coastal Carolina. They achieved a 50.8% field goal percentage and went 13/19 from the free-throw line. One area that the Marshall offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 121st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 42%.

Looking at the Marshall defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 76.2 points per game (261st). In their most recent game, the Marshall defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Coastal Carolina knocked down 14 three-pointers on their way to 74 points.

Will Troy Find a Way to Win at Home?

Having won four straight games, Troy will look to keep their momentum going as they host Marshall. So far this season, the Trojans have been a much better team at home, going 9-1 compared to their 3-7 road record. In fact, they have won their last nine games at home.

For the year, Troy is 15-8, including a 9-2 record in Sun Belt play. They have been favored in 13 of their games, going 11-2 in those contests. In their most recent game, the Trojans defeated Georgia State by a score of 78-74.

As the favorite this season, Troy has an ATS record of 10-3. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. At home, Troy has an ATS mark of 8-2 this year and they’ve gone 8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

On the season, the over/under record for Troy sits at 11-9 and today’s line of 154 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.4). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 153 points compared to their season average of 148.7 points per game. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 154.

In their recent game, the Trojans’ offense concluded with 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 80 points per contest. Offensively, the Trojans hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 282nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 133rd in terms of percentage and 47th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Trojans’ defense is positioned 110th in the country, permitting 69.7 points per game. Troy’s three-point defense is currently 68th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.8% of their shots vs. Troy.