Facing off at 5:00 on Saturday, November 18th is the Marshall Thundering Herd and South Alabama Jaguars. This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile AL. Carrying the game is ESPN+. South Alabama comes into this Sun Belt matchup, as the -10.5 point home favorite. Keep reading to get my analysis on how this game plays out.


The Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd +10.5

This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium at 5:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 30-20 in favor of South Alabama.
  • Even though we have South Alabama winning straight-up, we like Marshall at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 48.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 50 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Thundering Herd?

The Marshall Thundering Herd take on the South Alabama with a 5-5 record, including 1-4 on the road and 3-1 at home.

Marshall’s average scoring differential for the season is -4.5 leading to an ATS mark of 3-6. The Thundering Herd have been favored four times and the underdog in four games

This season, Marshall has an over/under record of 5-4. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 53.3 points, with the typical over/under line being 49.1 points.

On offense, Marshall comes into the game averaging 24.4, which is 71st in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 230.9 passing yards (63rd) compared to 93rd in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 340 rushing attempts per contest.

The Thundering Herd’s defense has allowed 167.5 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 92nd. Opponents are averaging 216.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 84.5 against Marshall. They currently rank 31st in points allowed in the NCAA.

Can South Alabama Grab a Win at Home?

So far, the South Alabama Jaguars are 5-5, including going 2-3 on the road and 2-2 at home.

So far, South Alabama has been favored six times and the underdog in three games. This has led to an ATS record of 3-6 and an average scoring differential of +8.8.

This season, South Alabama has posted an over/under record of 5-4 through 10 games. On average their games have combined for 51 points.

The Jaguars come into their matchup vs. Marshall 54th in college football at 350 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 164.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 59th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 32.1 times each game, accumulating an average of 258.4 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 44th, with 29.9 points per game.

The Jaguars’ defense has given up 125 rushing yards per game this season, which is 165th. Opponents are recording an average of 198.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 92.4 when playing against South Alabama. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 72nd in NCAA rankings.