The Red Foxes and Saints are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Saints will host the game at MVP Arena in Albany, NY. Marist come into this Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup as the -3.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 126.5 points.


The Pick: Siena Saints +3.5

This game will be played at MVP Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Saints.
  • Not only will Siena pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 126.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will Marist Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Marist enters this game with an 11-9 record and a 6-5 mark in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. They are 5-4 in non-conference games and 5-6 on the road.

As the favorite, the Red Foxes are 8-3 this season, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games. In their most recent game, they defeated Saint Peter’s by a score of 63-52.

Marist has an overall ATS record of 12-8 this season and they are 7-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Foxes have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Marist games is 6-14. Today’s line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 132.1. On the year, their games are averaging 127.3 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 133 points scored.

The Marist offense is coming off a game in which they scored 63 points vs. Saint Peter’s. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.1% while connecting on 12 threes. For the season, the Marist offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 351st in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 44%.

The Red Foxes’ defense is presently ranked 10th nationally, allowing an average of 62.8 points per contest. Against Saint Peter’s, the Red Foxes’ defense gave up 52 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Saint Peter’s only made 5 free-throws.

Will Siena Win at Home?

After losing their last game to Mount St. Mary’s by a score of 68-61, the Siena Saints are 3-19 overall. Their record in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play is 2-9 compared to 1-10 in non-conference games.

At home, Siena has gone 2-9 this season, and they are currently on a seven-game losing streak in front of their own fans. Over their last 10 games at home, the Saints have gone 1-9.

As the underdog, Siena has an ATS record of 8-12 this season and they are 2-9 vs. the spread at home. In their last three home games, they are 1-2 ATS and their home ATS mark for the year is 2-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Saints’ ATS record is 5-5.

For the season, the over/under record for Siena games is 9-12-1. Today’s over/under line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (137.7). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 128 points compared to their season average of 136.6 points per game.

The Saints’ offense wrapped up their last game with 61 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 60.5 points per contest. Coming into the game, the Saints offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 26%. On average, they get up 18.4 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 11.2 made free-throws.

Facing Marist, Siena aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 76.1 points allowed per game (262nd). The Siena defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed Mount St. Mary’s to connect on 7 threes.