Looking to win big? The Red Foxes and Mountaineers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mountaineers are hosting the game at Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, MD. The over/under for this game is set at 132.5 points, and the Mountaineers are the home favorites against the Red Foxes in a Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup.
MARIST RED FOXES VS MOUNT ST. MARY’S MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers -3.5
This game will be played at Knott Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, January 19th.
WHY BET THE MOUNT ST. MARY’S MOUNTAINEERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Mountaineers.
- Not only will Mount St. Mary’s pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will Marist Make it Happen on the Road?
Marist enters today’s game as an underdog, as they have been in six of their 14 games this season. So far, the Red Foxes are 2-4 when they are the underdog.
Marist has been much better at home this season, as they are 4-2 compared to their 4-4 road record. Their average scoring margin at home is +11.2 points per game, while it is -1.9 points per game on the road.
Marist has been a solid team vs. the spread this season, going 10-4 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-2 and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Red Foxes have gone 4-2 vs. the spread this year and their last three ATS mark as the underdog is 2-1.
Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Marist’s games this season (133.4). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 2-8.
Marist’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 83 points against Rider. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.7% and made 16/22 free throws. In terms of offense, the Red Foxes have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 184th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 211st in percentage and 242nd in three-pointers made.
This season, the Marist defense has been impressive, holding the 12th position in the country while permitting an average of 62.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Rider, the Broncs finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 60 points vs. Marist.
Will Mount St. Mary’s Come Through as Home Favorites?
Mount St. Mary’s will be looking to bounce back from a 17-point loss to Iona when they take on Marist. The Mountaineers are 6-10 overall, including a 2-3 record in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play. At home, Mount St. Mary’s is 4-1 this season, and they have won three straight at home.
For the year, Mount St. Mary’s has been favored in eight of their 16 games, going 6-2 in those contests. As the favorite, the Mountaineers have an average scoring margin of +15.0 points per game. On the road, Mount St. Mary’s is just 2-9 this season, compared to their 4-1 mark at home.
Mount St. Mary’s has an ATS record of 7-8-1 this season and they are 3-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mountaineers have gone 4-5-1.
This season, the over/under record for Mount St. Mary’s is 11-5, and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (137). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 144 points.
In their previous game, the Mountaineers’ offense finished with 70 points, which is right in line with their current average of 73 points per contest. Leading Mount St. Mary’s in scoring vs. Iona was Dakota Leffew with his 20 points. George Tinsley also added 11 points for the Mountaineers.
On defense, Mount St. Mary’s is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.9 points per game. The Mount St. Mary’s defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 87 points and allowed Iona to connect on 8 threes.