Looking to win big? The Red Foxes and Stags face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNN. The Stags are hosting the game at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, NJ. This Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 132.5 points, and Fairfield is favored to win by -5.5 at home vs. Marist.


The Pick: Fairfield Stags -5.5

This game will be played at Boardwalk Hall at 9:00 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Stags.
  • Not only will Fairfield pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Red Foxes Pull Off a Win at Atlantic City?

Marist heads into today’s game against Fairfield as 5.5-point underdogs. The Red Foxes are 17-12 overall, including a 13-8 record in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play.

Over their last 10 road games, Marist has gone 4-6. For the season, the Red Foxes are 8-8 on the road, compared to 10-4 at home.

As the underdog this season, Marist has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 9-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Foxes have an ATS record of 5-5.

Marist’s over/under record for the season is 8-21-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 126.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (132.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

Marist offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 65 points against Niagara. In that game, they made 4/10 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 52.3%. Jadin Collins led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Javon Cooley contributed 14 points for the Red Foxes.

At present, the Red Foxes’ defense is nationally ranked 8th, allowing 62.1 points per game. Against Niagara in their most recent game, the Marist defense gave up a total of 59 points while allowing Niagara to hit 52% of their shots.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Stags?

After winning their last three games, Fairfield enters this game with a record of 20-11. They are 15-6 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play compared to their non-conference record of 5-5. At home, the Stags are 10-4 this season and have won four straight.

For the year, Fairfield has been favored in 20 of their 31 games, going 15-5 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home is +7.9 compared to +1.1 on the road. In their last game, the Stags defeated Iona by a score of 68-63.

Against the spread this season, Fairfield has gone 16-15. At home, they have an ATS mark of 8-6 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Fairfield games is 20-11 and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points compared to their season average of 147.9 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 76.5 points per game, the Fairfield had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Iona and had a field goal percentage of 43.1%. In terms of offense, the Stags have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 192nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 55th in percentage and 24th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Stags’ defense holds the 136th rank in the nation, allowing 71.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Fairfield’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.9% this season.