Betting on today’s Black Bears and Retrievers game? Catch the action at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD, as the Retrievers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Black Bears are the favored team in this America East conference contest against the Retrievers. The game’s over/under currently sits at 151.5 points.

MAINE BLACK BEARS VS UMBC RETRIEVERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UMBC Retrievers +3.5

This game will be played at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.

WHY BET THE UMBC RETRIEVERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Retrievers.
  • Not only will UMBC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Will the Black Bears Find a Way to Win on the Road?

The Maine Black Bears are favored by 3.5 points in their game against the UMBC Retrievers. Maine has an overall record of 8-9 and has lost five straight games. They are 0-2 in America East games and 8-7 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Black Bears are 5-7 this season, and their average scoring differential is -3.2 points per game. They have lost four straight road games and are 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home.

As the favorite this season, Maine has gone 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, the Black Bears are 6-6 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 road ATS mark is 1-2.

This season, the over/under record for Maine games is 7-9 and today’s line of 151.5 is significantly higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (136.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points and the over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

Coming off their recent game, the Maine offense tallied 74 points in a matchup against New Hampshire. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.3%, and they made 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Peter Filipovity, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.5, while Kellen Tynes also maintains a PPG average of 13.9 leading up to the game.

At this time, the Black Bears’ defense is positioned 70th in the country, permitting 66.9 points per game. So far, the Maine defense is giving up an average of 7.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.3 times per game (418th).

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

UMBC enters this game with a record of 5-13 and a losing streak of eight games. They are 0-3 in America East play and 3-10 when listed as the underdog.

At home, the Retrievers are 3-4 this season and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games at home. Their average scoring differential at home is -1.9 points per game.

UMBC has an ATS record of 9-8 this season, going 3-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Retrievers are 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games at home, UMBC is 0-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in UMBC games this season (155.9). So far, 10 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points and their over/under record this season is 12-5.

UMBC’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 82 points against Massachusetts-Lowell. They had an overall field goal percentage of 50.8% and made 6/8 free throws. On the offensive front, the Retrievers have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 142nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 79th in terms of percentage and 85th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Retrievers’ defense is ranked 308th in the country at 83.6 points per contest. Against Massachusetts-Lowell in their most recent game, the UMBC defense gave up a total of 86 points while allowing Massachusetts-Lowell to hit 48% of their shots.