Looking to win big? The Black Bears and Great Danes face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Great Danes are hosting the game at SEFCU Arena in Albany, NY. The over/under for this game is set at 150.5 points, and Albany is favored by -1.5 vs. Maine in a America East conference matchup.


The Pick: Albany Great Danes -1.5

This game will be played at SEFCU Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Great Danes.
  • Not only will Albany pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can Maine Stun the Crowd at SEFCU Arena?

After winning their last two games, Maine will look to keep their momentum going on the road against Albany. So far this season, the Black Bears have gone 6-11 on the road, and their average margin of defeat in these games has been -3.5 points per game.

As the underdog, Maine has gone just 2-9 this season, and they have gone 1-9 in their last 10 road games. In their last game, the Black Bears beat NJIT by a score of 68-58.

As the underdog, Maine has gone 5-6 vs. the spread this season and 15-12 overall. On the road, the Black Bears are 9-8 vs. the spread in 17 games and 3-0 in their last 3. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Maine is 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Maine games is 11-16. So far, 23 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line of 150.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points.

In their previous game, the Black Bears’ offense finished with 68 points, which is right in line with their current average of 67.6 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Peter Filipovity who comes into today’s matchup averaging 13.7. Kellen Tynes also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.9.

At present, the Black Bears’ defense is nationally ranked 48th, allowing 66.9 points per game. The Maine defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 58 points and allowed NJIT to connect on 2 threes.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Great Danes?

Albany has been a much better team at home this season, going 7-4 compared to 5-12 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +4.5, compared to -4.8 on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, the Great Danes have gone 6-4.

So far this season, Albany has been the favorite in 10 games and has gone 9-1 in those matchups. Their overall record is 13-16, including a 5-9 mark in America East games.

Albany has an ATS record of 14-14 this season. When favored, the Great Danes are 8-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 6-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Albany is 8-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Albany games is 15-11-2. On average, their games have finished with 158.1 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 152, resulting in an average margin of 6.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 176 points.

Albany recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 91 points against New Hampshire. This output exceeded their season average of 79.1 points per game. Sebastian Thomas is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Amar’e Marshall brings a PPG average of 17.3 into the game.

So far, the Great Danes’ defense is ranked 315th in the country at 78.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.0 threes per game vs. Maine. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.0%.