Looking to win big? The Tigers and Gators face off at 8:00 ET on SECN. The Gators are hosting the game at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, FL. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 161 points, and Florida is favored to win by -10.5 at home vs. LSU.

LSU TIGERS VS FLORIDA GATORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: LSU Tigers +10.5

This game will be played at Exactech Arena at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.

WHY BET THE LSU TIGERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Gators.
  • Even though we have Florida winning straight-up, we like LSU at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 161 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Tigers Stand a Chance on the Road?

LSU enters this game as a 10.5-point underdog, and the Tigers have gone just 2-9 as the underdog this season. They have lost two straight games and are 12-11 overall.

On the road, LSU has gone 2-6 this season, and they are coming off a 109-92 loss to Alabama. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Tigers have gone just 3-7.

Against the spread, LSU has a 9-14 record this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-5. As the underdog, the Tigers are just 3-8 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, LSU has gone just 3-7 ATS.

LSU’s over/under record this season is 13-10 and the average over/under line in their games is 148.1. Today’s over/under line of 161 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season (152.2) and their average scoring total over their last three games is 175 points. So far, 15 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line.

The LSU offense is coming off a game where they scored 92 points against Alabama. They posted a field goal percentage of 55% and connected on 7 threes. Offensively, the Tigers have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 118th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 154th in percentage and 146th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the LSU defense is giving up an average of 74.5 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 9.0 threes per game vs. Florida. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.0%.

Are the Gators Ready for a Home Win?

Florida has been dominant at home this season, going 12-1 with an average scoring margin of +16.2 points per game. They have won four straight games at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, the Gators are 16-7, including a 6-4 mark in Southeastern Conference games. They have been favored in 18 of their 23 games, going 14-4 in those contests.

Florida’s ATS record this season is 11-12, including a 6-7 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 161 for Florida’s game against LSU is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this season (155.5). So far, their over/under record is 13-9-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points and their OU record in those games is 1-2. On the season, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 161.

In their latest game, Florida’s offense looked good, scoring 81 points against Auburn. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.3% and made 20/26 free throws. The Florida offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 33% of their looks from outside this season.

Facing LSU, Florida aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 76.5 points allowed per game (271st). On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. LSU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.0%.