LSU Tigers at West Virginia Mountaineers Pick
- Updated: September 23, 2011
NCAA Football Betting Previews- No.3 LSU Tigers at No.16 West Virginia Mountaineers
VietBet Point spread: LSU-5
The LSU Tigers will try and knock-off their third ranked opponent in four weeks when they square-off against the West Virginia Mountaineers this upcoming Saturday night in Morgantown. The game is slated to get underway at 8 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ABC.
LSU started its climb up the polls with a solid a 40-27 victory over then-No.3 Oregon as a three-point underdog in a game that went ‘over’ the 54-point total. Last Thursday night, the Tigers grinded out a 19-6 win over No. 25 Mississippi State as a 3.5-point road favorite. The total stayed ‘under’ the 48-point line this time around.
While quarterback Jarrett Lee has done a good job at managing the LSU offense behind a rushing attack that is averaging 166 yards a game, it has been LSU’s defense that has led the way so far. It held the Ducks to just 335 yards of total offense and completely shut the Bulldogs down in last week’s win. The Tigers are currently ranked 14th in the nation in points allowed; giving up an average of 12 a game.
West Virginia has a chance to put itself in the national title picture with a win on Saturday night after a 3-0 start. It beat Marshall 34-13 in its home opener, but could not cover the 21.5-point spread. The total stayed ‘under’ 52.5-point line. This past Saturday, the Mountaineers held off Maryland 37-31 as one-point road favorites in a game that went ‘over’ the 57.5-point line.
Geno Smith is off to a great start with 1,008 yards passing and seven touchdown throws. He has three players with over 200 yards receiving led by Tavon Austin’s 20 catches for 236 yards. The one glaring weakness on this team so far is a rushing attack that has only managed to average 78.7 yards a game.
LSU is 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games as a road favorite and the total has gone ‘over’ in 13 of its last 18 games as a favorite on the road. West Virginia is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against the SEC and 4-0 ATS in its last four games as an underdog. The total has gone ‘over’ in nine of its last 11 games as an underdog.
Head-to-head, the Tigers hammered out a 20-14 victory as 9.5-point home favorites last season with the total staying ‘under’ the 44-point line. LSU held the Mountaineers to only 59 yards on the ground, which will once again be the key to beating them on the road this time around.
The College Football Pick: LSU 24 West Virginia 17
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