Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lions and Waves. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Waves at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA. Get ready to place your bets! In this West Coast matchup, the Lions are the betting favorite against the Waves. The over/under for the game is 147 points.

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS VS PEPPERDINE WAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +1

This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.

WHY BET THE PEPPERDINE WAVES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Waves.
  • Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Lions Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Through 18 games, Loyola Marymount has an overall record of 8-10, including a 1-3 mark in West Coast Conference play. On the road, the Lions are 1-3 this season and have been outscored by an average of 9.2 points per game.

As the favorite, Loyola Marymount has gone 7-6 this season, and they have been favored in 13 of their 18 games. After a 90-74 loss to San Francisco, the Lions’ record over their last 10 road games is 3-7.

As the favorite this season, Loyola Marymount has gone just 5-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions are just 4-6 ATS. On the road, their ATS mark is just 1-3 this year and over their last three road games, they are 1-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 147 for the Loyola Marymount game against Pepperdine is in line with the average over/under line in their games this season (145.4). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

The Lions’ offense wrapped up their last game with 74 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 73.4 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Dominick Harris, who holds an average of 14.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Justin Wright is averaging 11.2 points per game this season.

Currently, the Lions’ defense holds the 125th rank in the nation, allowing 70.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Loyola Marymount’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.2% this season.

Can Pepperdine Secure a Home Victory?

Pepperdine has been a much better team at home this season, going 6-5 compared to 1-6 on the road. They have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home, including a 3-2 mark in their last five.

As an underdog, Pepperdine has gone just 1-10 this season, and they are coming off an 86-61 loss to Gonzaga. Overall, they are 9-11 this season and 2-3 in West Coast Conference play.

As the underdog, Pepperdine has struggled against the spread this season, going just 2-9 vs. the spread in 11 games as the underdog. Their overall ATS record is 8-10. At home, the Waves are 6-5 vs. the spread this season and have gone 4-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

Pepperdine’s over/under record for the season is 7-9-2, and the average over/under line in their games is 150.9. Today’s over/under line of 147 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year of 146.6. So far, 15 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 147. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 159.

The Pepperdine offense is coming off a game in which they scored 61 points vs. Gonzaga. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.3% while connecting on 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Michael Ajayi, who is averaging 17.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Houston Mallette also maintains a PPG average of 16.1 heading into game.

So far, the Waves’ defense is ranked 191st in the country at 73.1 points per contest. Pepperdine will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Gonzaga to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.