Looking to win big? The Cardinals and Cavaliers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Cavaliers are hosting the game at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA. The over/under for this game is set at 128.5 points, and the Cavaliers are the home favorites against the Cardinals in a Atlantic Coast conference matchup.


The Pick: Louisville Cardinals +14.5

This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Even though we have Virginia winning straight-up, we like Louisville at +14.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 128.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Will Louisville Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Today’s game against Virginia will be Louisville’s eighth game of the season. The Cardinals are 5-7 overall and have yet to win a game on the road, going 0-2. At home, they are 5-5. Heading into their game against Virginia, Louisville holds a 4-6-2 ATS record. In their last ten games, Louisville has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 12 games, Louisville has an over/under record of 6-6-0, with their games averaging 150 points per game on average. The Cardinals’ last five games have finished with a combined 148 points per game and an over/under record of 1-4.

In their most recent game, the Cardinals’ offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Skyy Clark, who is averaging 15.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tre White also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the Louisville defense is giving up an average of 75.4 points per contest. So far, the Louisville defense is giving up an average of 8.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.1 times per game (561st).

Can Virginia Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Virginia is preparing for their 14th game of the season, holding a 10-3 record. On the road, the Cavaliers are winless at 0-3, but have a perfect 10-0 record at home. As of today’s game, Virginia’s against the spread record stands at 7-6. This season, they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread on the road and 7-3 at home.

Up to this point, games involving Virginia have had an average of 121.9 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 126.7 points. Their over/under record is 5-8-0. When analyzing the Cavaliers’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 123 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

In their latest game, Virginia offense put up 54 points against Notre Dame. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 38.2% and made 2 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Reece Beekman, who is averaging 13.1 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Isaac McKneely also maintains a PPG average of 10.8 heading into game.

The Cavaliers’ defense is presently ranked 2nd nationally, allowing an average of 56.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. Louisville. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.9%.