Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Cardinals versus the Blue Devils? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ACCN. The game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, NC. The over/under for this game is set at 151.5 points, and Duke is favored by -19.5 vs. Louisville in a Atlantic Coast conference matchup.

LOUISVILLE CARDINALS VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Louisville Cardinals +19.5

This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.

WHY BET THE LOUISVILLE CARDINALS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Blue Devils.
  • Even though we have Duke winning straight-up, we like Louisville at +19.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can The Cardinals Secure a Road Victory?

Despite being 19.5-point underdogs, Louisville has gone 2-16 this season as the underdog. On the road, the Cardinals are 1-9 this year with an average scoring margin of -11.7 points per game.

Coming into this matchup, Louisville is on a three-game losing streak. In their last game, the Cardinals lost to Notre Dame by a score of 72-50.

As the underdog, Louisville has gone 9-8-1 against the spread this season. On the road, the Cardinals are 5-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 1-2 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Louisville has an ATS mark of 6-4.

So far this season, the over/under record in Louisville games is 15-12. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 144 points compared to their season average of 151.2 points per game.

In their latest game, Louisville offense put up 50 points against Notre Dame. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 33.9% and made 4 threes. The top scorer for the Cardinals was Skyy Clark with 18 points, while Brandon Huntley-Hatfield also chipped in with 16 points.

The Cardinals’ defense is presently ranked 303rd nationally, allowing an average of 78.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Notre Dame, the Fighting Irish finished with a field goal percentage of 33% and a total of 72 points vs. Louisville.

Do the Blue Devils Have What it Takes at Home?

At home this season, Duke has gone 14-2 compared to 6-4 on the road. They have won four straight games at home, and over their last 10 games, they are 9-1.

On the year, the Blue Devils have been favored in 24 of their 27 games, going 20-4 in those matchups. Their overall record is 21-6, and in ACC play, they are 11-4.

As the favorite, Duke has an ATS record of 14-10 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 10-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Duke games is 12-13-1. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (147.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points.

Duke’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 79 points against Wake Forest. They had an overall field goal percentage of 53.1% and made 16/20 free throws. Kyle Filipowski is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.9. Meanwhile, Jeremy Roach also brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

At this time, the Blue Devils’ defense is positioned 68th in the country, permitting 67.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Duke’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.8% this season.