The Appalachian State Mountaineers (-18) are heavy favorites against the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns in the Sun Belt Championship Game. Kickoff for this pivotal game is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and you can watch the action live on ESPN.
Louisiana at Appalachian State Betting Odds
Appalachian State is giving up 18 points in this SBC game. The Ragin’ Cajuns are currently being given +800 moneyline odds while the Mountaineers are -1450. This SBC tilt will probably present several in-game betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 59 points.
The line opened at -18. The game’s total hasn’t moved since it opened at 59.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 7-5 straight up (SU), including 5-3 SU against conference opponents. The Mountaineers are 9-2 SU overall and 7-1 SU in conference play. The surprising Ragin’ Cajuns have gained 4.8 units so far in 2018 and are 8-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 6-5.
The Mountaineers have gained 0.5 units this season. They’re 8-3 ATS and also have an O/U record of 6-5.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off a 31-28 victory over Louisiana-Monroe last week where the Ragin’ Cajuns completed 17-of-21 passes for 213 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Andre Nunez went 11-for-15 for 148 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Levi Lewis completed six-of-six for 65 yards and one touchdown. Trey Ragas (115 rushing yards on 23 attempts) and Elijah Mitchell (61 yards on 16 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Ryheem Malone (six receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Ja’Marcus Bradley (four catches, 35 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers are coming off of a 21-10 win over Troy. The defense did its duty in the victory, restricting the Trojans to just 170 passing yards and 62 rushing yards. Deondre Douglas had a good outing in the defeat, posting 69 yards on six catches for Troy. For Appalachian State, Zac Thomas completed 12-of-24 passes for 113 yards and two touchdowns. Darrynton Evans (108 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and the signal-caller Thomas (33 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the ground game in the win while Corey Sutton (five receptions, 72 yards, two TDs) and Thomas Hennigan (two catches, 16 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Louisiana has run the ball on 61.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Appalachian State has an overall rush percentage of 62.3. The Ragin’ Cajuns have run for 230 yards/game (including 230 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have 28 scores via handoffs this year. The Mountaineers are totaling 242 rushing yards per contest (242 in conference) and have 27 total rush TDs.
The Ragin’ Cajuns have logged 218 yards/contest through the air overall (204 per game versus conference opposition) and have 26 passing scores so far. The Mountaineers have put up 199 pass yards per game (167.6 in the SBC) and have 22 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Louisiana has allowed 209 rush yards and 235 pass yards per game. Appalachian State has been significantly better than that, giving up 124.4 rushing yards per game and 153.8 to opposing teams in the air. The Mountaineers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.36 to opponents, while the Ragin’ Cajuns have given up an 8.26 ANY/A.
Nunez has amassed 1,898 pass yards this year. He’s completed 152-of-231 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and nine interceptions. Nunez’s got a 6.96 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.94 over the past two outings.
The Ragin’ Cajuns will likely try to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Elijah Mitchell (762 rush yards, nine rush TDs, 319 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Trey Ragas (987 rush yards, eight rush TDs, two receiving TDs) have been focal points in the Louisiana offense.
Zac Thomas has produced 1,505 yards, 15 TDs and four INTs for Appalachian State. His ANY/A stands at 7.81 for the season and 9.17 over his last two outings.
The Mountaineers will also try to control the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. Along with Corey Sutton (571 receiving yards, seven receiving TDs), Darrynton Evans (841 rush yards, six rush TDs, one receiving TD) and Marcus Williams Jr. (424 rush yards, three rush TDs, one TD) have gotten a lot of touches recently.
These two teams met last year with the final outcome being a 63-14 victory for Appalachian State.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Pick
SU Winner – Appalachian State, ATS Winner – Appalachian State, O/U – Under
Team Betting Notes
The Appalachian State offense has lost four fumbles this season while Louisiana has let three get away.
The Louisiana defense has sacked opposing QBs 21 times this season. Appalachian State has registered 20 sacks.
Louisiana has rushed for 6.7 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 5.5 over its last two.
Appalachian State has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.1 over its past two.
Over its last three matchups, Appalachian State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Louisiana’s last game was 71. The under cashed in the team’s 31-28 victory over Louisiana-Monroe.
Over its last three games, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Appalachian State’s previous game going into it was 45. The under cashed in that 21-10 victory over Troy.
Appalachian State has won 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a -20-point defeat to Georgia Southern on October 25th accounting for its only loss over that stretch.